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Executive Analysis of the Global Rail Market 2016

Executive Analysis of the Global Rail Market 2016

This deliverable provides an outlook of growth opportunities in the global rail market. The study discusses key trends, market drivers, opportunities, regional influences, and market dynamics and provides market sizes for infrastructure and rolling stock on a global scale. Market forecasts by region (Africa, Asia-Pacific, Eastern Europe, Western Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and North America) are provided for ridership, freight traffic, network length, rail electrification, and installed bases for locomotives, passenger coaches, multiple units, and wagons. The study period is from 2015 to 2022, and strategic conclusions have been provided.


  • Executive Summary
    • 2015 Key Highlights
    • 2015-2016 Rail Industry Senior Management Top-of-mind Issues
    • Top 5 Predictions-2016
  • Global Rail Market Overview
    • Overview of Forecasts
    • Overview of Global Rail Traffic
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Rail Traffic, Global, 2015-2022
    • Rail Traffic Growth Tied Strongly to Urbanization
    • Overview of Global Rail Electrification
      • Table Rail Market: Track Electrification, Global, 2015-2016
  • Global Rolling Stock Supplier Market Overview
    • Merger of CSR and CNR to CRCC Dwarfs the Entire Market
    • CRRC and Freight Rail Rolling Stock Suppliers to See Highest Growth
    • Rail OEMs Trying to Operate across the Entire Rail Value Chain
    • Consolidation among Rolling Stock Manufacturers in 2015
  • Emission Standards for Rail Applications in Europe and North America
    • Passenger Vehicles and Heavy Trucks as Largest Sources of Emissions
      • Table Rail Market: Transportation CO2 Emissions by Mode, US, 2004-2013
    • EPA Emission Standards for Locomotives in the United States
      • Table Rail Market: Line Haul and Switcher Locomotive Emission Standards, US , 1973-2015
    • PM and NOx Reduction
    • Tier 4 Engine Trends in NA
    • Market Positioning of Low Emission Locomotives
    • Rail Contribution to Emissions-Europe
      • Table Rail Market: Greenhouse Gas Emission by Sector, Europe, 2015
    • Impact of Stage IIIA Rail Norms Clearly Visible in 2011 Figures
      • Table Rail Market: Specific CO2 Emissions per ton-km and by Mode of Transport, Europe, 2002-2011
    • Proposed Stage V Targets Particulate Emissions for Diesel Engines
      • Table Rail Market: Emission Standards for Engines of Locomotives and Railcars, Europe, 2006-2021
    • PM versus NOx Level Analysis for Railcars and Locomotives-Stage V
  • Regional Focus-North America
    • Passenger Operators Take Increasing Technology Presence
    • New Generation of Locomotives from Several OEMs
    • Rail Passenger Traffic Projections
    • Investments in US Rail-Federal and Class 1
    • Freight Railroad in the United States
    • Coal-Most Carried Freight in Class I Railroads
    • Increasingly Diverse Commodities Transported by Rail Freight
    • Intermodal-Largest Growth in Demand in 2014
    • Intermodal Rail Freight Traffic Flow-United States
    • Intermodal Rail Freight Traffic Forecast
    • About 60% of all Intermodal Rail Traffic Converges at Chicago
    • Poor Service Levels-Congestion Pricing and Contracts
    • Wagon Leasing Agencies to Continue Expanding Fleet in 2016
    • GE Dominates Locomotive Market in the United States
    • US Locomotive Market
    • Shale Gas and Future Implications
    • LNG Engine R&D in NA
  • Regional Focus-Europe
    • Major Enhancement of Rail Infrastructure Key Focus till 2020
    • HSR Expected to be Major Area of Spending by 2020
      • Table Rail Market: Estimated Available Funding for Infrastructure Projects, EU27, 2015-2022
    • Freight Rail Traffic in Europe
    • Russia and Germany-Highest Rail Freight Traffic in Europe
    • European Rail Freight Caters to Extremely Diverse Industries
    • Number of Wagons Estimated to Operate in Europe-565,390
    • EMU Preferred for Passenger Service
    • Total of 2,763 Locomotives and 9,082 MUs to be Delivered by 2022
    • GE Might Further Expand European Presence through Vossloh
    • Alstom, Bombardier, and Stadler Dominate the MU Market
  • Regional Focus-India
    • Network Capacity Expansion the Primary Target of Indian Rail
    • Indian Railways Proposed Investment Plan (2015 to 2019)
    • Over 39 Cities in India Looking at Urban Rail Systems
    • India Looking at Connecting Key Regional Cities with HSR
    • Investments Planned to Separate Rail Freight Traffic
  • Regional Focus-South Africa
    • Overview of the Rail Industry in South Africa
      • Table Rail Market: Freight Modal Share, South Africa, 2013
    • Overview of the Rail Freight Market in South Africa
    • Investment in the South African Freight Rail Industry
    • New Generation of Locomotives from Several OEMs
    • Transnet-Strategy to Position Itself as a Leading Manufacturer in Africa
  • Information Technology in the Global Rail Industry
    • Fleet Telematics Expected to See Sharp Increase in Adoption in 2016
    • Scale of Big Data in Petabytes
    • Advanced Lead Ranking and Conversion for Rail Environment
    • Performance Improvement Possibilities with Predictive Analytics
  • Conclusions
    • Key Conclusions and 2016 Outlook
    • Rail Research Titles-2012 to 2025
  • Appendix
    • Table of Acronyms Used
    • Market Engineering Methodology
  • Mega Trends and Smart Cities
    • Mega Trends Shaping Future of Logistics
    • Mega Trend-Urbanization and Smart Cities
    • Mega Trends Driving Logistics Industry
    • Mega Trend-Urbanization
    • Smart Cities Creating a Smart World
    • Mobility Landscape-Many Participants, New Partnerships, New Models
    • Six Key Pillars to the Smart Train Definition of Every OEM
  • Forecast Tables-Global Mainline Passenger Rail Volumes
    • Passenger Ridership Forecasts-Africa
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Passenger Ridership, Africa, 2015-2022
    • Passenger Ridership Forecasts-APAC
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Passenger Ridership, APAC, 2015-2022
    • Passenger Ridership Forecasts-Eastern Europe
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Passenger Ridership, Eastern Europe, 2015-2022
    • Passenger Ridership Forecasts-Western Europe
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Passenger Ridership, Western Europe, 2015-2022
    • Passenger Ridership Forecasts-LATAM, Middle East, and NA
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Passenger Ridership, LATAM, 2015-2022
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Passenger Ridership, Middle East, 2015-2022
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Passenger Ridership, NA, 2015-2022
  • Forecast Tables-Global Mainline Freight Traffic
    • Freight Traffic Forecasts-Africa
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Freight Traffic, Africa, 2015-2022
    • Freight Traffic Forecasts-APAC
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Freight Traffic, APAC, 2015-2022
    • Freight Traffic Forecasts-Eastern Europe
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Freight Traffic, Eastern Europe, 2015-2022
    • Freight Traffic Forecasts-Western Europe
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Freight Traffic, Western Europe, 2015-2022
    • Freight Traffic Forecasts-LATAM, Middle East, and NA
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Freight Traffic, LATAM, 2015-2022
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Freight Traffic, Middle East, 2015-2022
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Freight Traffic, NA, 2015-2022
  • Forecast Tables-Global Mainline Rail Track Length
    • Length of Rail Network Forecasts-Africa
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Length of Rail Network, Africa, 2015-2022
    • Length of Rail Network Forecasts-APAC
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Length of Rail Network, APAC, 2015-2022
    • Length of Rail Network Forecasts-Eastern Europe
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Length of Rail Network, Eastern Europe, 2015-2022
    • Length of Rail Network Forecasts-Western Europe
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Length of Rail Network, Western Europe, 2015-2022
    • Length of Rail Network Forecasts-LATAM, Middle East, and NA
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Length of Rail Network, LATAM, 2015-2022
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Length of Rail Network, Middle East, 2015-2022
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Length of Rail Network, NA, 2015-2022
  • Forecast Tables-Global Electrified Mainline Rail Track Length
    • Length of Electrification Forecasts-Africa and APAC
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Length of Electrified Rail Network, Africa, 2015-2022
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Length of Electrified Rail Network, APAC, 2015-2022
    • Length of Electrification Forecasts-Eastern Europe
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Length of Rail Network, Eastern Europe, 2015-2022
    • Length of Electrification Forecasts-Western Europe
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Length of Rail Network, Western Europe, 2015-2022
    • Length of Electrification Forecasts-LATAM, Middle East, and NA
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Length of Rail Network, LATAM, 2015-2022
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Length of Rail Network, Middle East, 2015-2022
      • Table Rail Market: Total Expected Length of Rail Network, NA, 2015-2022
  • Forecast Tables-Locomotives in Mainline Service
    • Locomotives in Installed Base Forecasts-Africa
      • Table Rail Market: Total Locomotives in Installed Base, Africa, 2015-2022
    • Locomotives in Installed Base Forecasts-APAC
      • Table Rail Market: Total Locomotives in Installed Base, APAC, 2015-2022
    • Locomotives in Installed Base Forecasts-Eastern Europe
      • Table Rail Market: Total Locomotives in Installed Base, Eastern Europe, 2015-2022
    • Locomotives in Installed Base Forecasts-Western Europe
      • Table Rail Market: Total Locomotives in Installed Base, Western Europe, 2015-2022
    • Locomotives in Installed Base Forecasts-LATAM, Middle East, and NA
      • Table Rail Market: Total Locomotives in Installed Base, LATAM, 2015-2022
      • Table Rail Market: Total Locomotives in Installed Base, Middle East, 2015-2022
      • Table Rail Market: Total Locomotives in Installed Base, NA, 2015-2022
  • Forecast Tables-Passenger Coaches in Mainline Service
    • Passenger Coaches in Installed Base Forecasts-Africa
      • Table Rail Market: Total Passenger Coaches in Installed Base, Africa, 2015-2022
    • Passenger Coaches in Installed Base Forecasts-APAC
      • Table Rail Market: Total Passenger Coaches in Installed Base, APAC, 2015-2022
    • Passenger Coaches in Installed Base Forecasts-Eastern Europe
      • Table Rail Market: Total Passenger Coaches in Installed Base, Eastern Europe, 2015-2022
    • Passenger Coaches in Installed Base Forecasts-Western Europe
      • Table Rail Market: Total Passenger Coaches in Installed Base, Western Europe, 2015-2022
    • Passenger Coaches in Installed Base Forecasts-LATAM, Middle East, and NA
      • Table Rail Market: Total Passenger Coaches in Installed Base, LATAM, 2015-2022
      • Table Rail Market: Total Passenger Coaches in Installed Base, Middle East, 2015-2022
      • Table Rail Market: Total Passenger Coaches in Installed Base, NA, 2015-2022
  • Forecast Tables-Multiple Units in Mainline Service
    • MUs in Installed Base Forecasts-Africa and APAC
      • Table Rail Market: Total MUs in Installed Base, Africa, 2015-2022
      • Table Rail Market: Total MUs in Installed Base, APAC, 2015-2022
    • MUs in Installed Base Forecasts-Eastern Europe
      • Table Rail Market: Total MUs in Installed Base, Eastern Europe, 2015-2022
    • MUs in Installed Base Forecasts-Western Europe
      • Table Rail Market: Total MUs in Installed Base, Western Europe, 2015-2022
    • MUs in Installed Base Forecasts-LATAM, Middle East, and NA
      • Table Rail Market: Total MUs in Installed Base, LATAM, 2015-2022
      • Table Rail Market: Total MUs in Installed Base, Middle East, 2015-2022
      • Table Rail Market: Total MUs in Installed Base, NA, 2015-2022
  • Forecast Tables-Freight Wagons in Mainline Service
    • Wagons in Installed Base Forecasts-Africa
      • Table Rail Market: Total Wagons in Installed Base, Africa, 2015-2022
    • Wagons in Installed Base Forecasts-APAC
      • Table Rail Market: Total Wagons in Installed Base, APAC, 2015-2022
    • Wagons in Installed Base Forecasts-Eastern Europe
      • Table Rail Market: Total Wagons in Installed Base, Eastern Europe, 2015-2022
    • Wagons in Installed Base Forecasts-Western Europe
      • Table Rail Market: Total Wagons in Installed Base, Western Europe, 2015-2022
    • Wagons in Installed Base Forecasts-LATAM, Middle East, and NA
      • Table Rail Market: Total Wagons in Installed Base, LATAM, 2015-2022
      • Table Rail Market: Total Wagons in Installed Base, Middle East, 2015-2022
      • Table Rail Market: Total Wagons in Installed Base, NA, 2015-2022

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