Black Swan Events—9 Outrageous Predictions for 2016 and their Impact on Top Pump Companies

• Executive Summary
  • Key Findings
• Market Overview
  • Black Swan Event-The Impact of the Highly Improbable
  • Black Swan Events
  • Strong Dollar, Weak Everything Else
  • The Russian Bear has a Bull Run
  • Will the Olympic Spirit Lift Brazil?
  • US Political Uncertainty
  • Oil at $100-Will Iran Finally Break OPEC's Silence?
  • Too Many Interest Rate Hikes Spoil the Economy
  • China Does a Somersault
  • Extreme Weather Impact
  • App Start-up Crash Pulls the Market Down
  • Impact on Top 10 Pump Manufacturers

Black Swan Events—9 Outrageous Predictions for 2016 and their Impact on Top Pump Companies

In 2015, the price of crude oil, which was expected to stay above $100 per barrel for the next 5 years, nose-dived and is currently trading around $30 a barrel. This year, Donald Trump, who was dismissed as a complete outsider and someone who would not even stay in the race for US President, is a leading candidate. Although there are ample examples of volatility and unknown risks like the above, companies are still trying to apply existing forecasting analyses to develop short-term strategies. Caught in herd mentality, pump manufacturers often fail to see major events and get caught in reactionary mode. This research analyses 9 such extreme events and their possible impact on pump manufacturers.