World demand to rise 7% annually through 2018
Worldwide demand for lighting fixtures is projected to increase at a 7% annual rate through 2018 to $174.5 billion, improving upon growth that was recorded during the 2008-2013 period. Advances will be bolstered by industrialization efforts in developing nations. Specifically, locations that maintain significant and fast growing construction and motor vehicle production markets, such as India and China, will post the fastest gains in lighting fixture demand. In addition, the rebounding economies in much of the developed world will facilitate rising lighting fixture sales. Furthermore, the continued adoption of higher value lighting fixtures that are optimized for use with more efficient light sources, such as light-emitting diodes (LEDs), will fuel demand.
China to account for largest share of new demand
In 2013, China comprised 24 percent of worldwide demand for lighting fixtures. China is expected to account for the largest share of additional global demand through 2018 with 37 percent of sales gains. The country will continue to experience robust growth because of its rapidly growing construction spending, including a number of large-scale lighting fixture retrofit projects, and its status as the world’s largest motor vehicle manufacturer. However, India will increase at the fastest rate, driven by the country’s continuing expansion of its electric grid, modernization of its building stock, and growth of the nation’s vehicle production industry.
Key US market to see above-average growth
The US, which was the second largest national market in 2013 with 18 percent of global sales, is projected to achieve above-average gains, even as the rest of the developed world posts more moderate growth rates. Advances in the US lighting fixture market are largely the result of an ongoing economic rebound. However, sales increases in much of Western Europe, and Japan and Australia will be slower, hampered by a long-running shift in vehicle production capacity away from these areas and a less robust recovery from a weakened economic climate. Still, lighting fixture sales in these areaswill benefit from a pickup in consumer spending levels and construction activity, even given their much more mature lighting fixture markets.
Nonportable lighting fixtures to offer best opportunities Nonportable lighting fixtures will continue to account for the bulk of demand, and experience the strongest growth in sales through 2018. Indoor and outdoor nonportable lighting fixtures will record comparable rates of growth through 2018, benefiting from the strong gains in construction spending that is expected in much of the world. Advances for portable lighting fixtures will be more modest, partly because many of the newer light technologies fit most legacy portable fixtures so an upgrade is not necessary to get greater energy efficiency.
Construction to be fastest growing market
The construction market for lighting fixtures is expected to post the fastest growth in demand through 2018. This market -- which includes hardwired fixtures as well as the separately sold parts and accessories -- is also the biggest outlet for lighting fixtures. Specifically, residential construction applications will post the fastest gains, with sales in this market segment benefiting from the expected gains in household construction.