US demand for gutters and downspouts is forecast to rise less than 1.0% annually to 2.1 billion linear feet in 2027. While this rate of increase is not especially strong, it will represent a return to growth following the declines of the previous period, which were negatively impacted by a moderation in residential building construction in 2022. Rebounding commercial building construction will provide opportunities for gutter and downspout sales, as will an increase in single-family housing starts and improvement and repair activity in the latter part of the forecast period.
In value terms, demand is expected to grow 2.7% annually to $8.3 billion – a significant deceleration from the 2017-2022 period; market value in that span was boosted by price surges in 2021 and 2022, which resulted from a combination of supply chain issues and rising raw material costs.
Following Initial Weakness, Residential Market Will See Gains in Latter Part of Forecast Period
Following significantly elevated levels of gutter and downspout sales in 2020 and 2021, real demand in 2022 moderated as high interest rates and economic uncertainty began to weigh on the housing industry. Demand declined sharply in 2023 as housing starts fell and improvement and repair activity declined. However, these underlying indicators are expected to improve through the rest of the forecast period, with single-family housing starts returning to growth as interest rates ease and improvement and repair activity steadily rising, supporting the replacement of aging gutters and downspouts and the addition of gutter guards on existing homes.
Demand for gutter guards – which are designed to keep leaves, pine needles, and other debris out of gutters – will rise as homeowners increasingly install these items to minimize the need to periodically clean gutters, a time-consuming and potentially dangerous task. Aluminum gutter guards will continue to account for the largest share of demand due to their light weight, which support their use among both professionals and DIYers. However, plastic gutter guards will continue to penetrate the market due to the wide variety of gutter guard options offered in plastic and the lower cost of these products compared to those made from aluminum and other metals.
This Freedonia industry study analyzes the $8 billion US market for gutters and downspouts. It presents historical demand data (2012, 2017, and 2022) and forecasts (2027 and 2032) as well as annual data for years 2019-2026. Unit demand and value demand data is shown for gutters and downspouts by material (steel, aluminum, plastic, copper), product type (gutters, downspouts, gutter guards, hardware & accessories) and market (new, improvement, and repair demand in both residential and commercial applications). The study also evaluates company market share and competitive analysis on industry competitors including Cornerstone, Leaf Home Solutions, OmniMax, Spectra Metals, and TopBuild."
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