Indonesia Telecommunication Industry Report - 2015

Indonesia Telecommunication Industry Report - 2015

This report profiles Indonesia’s telecommunication industry, discussing market trends through 2014 and outlook for 2015 and beyond. The report also highlights leading players in the sector including PT Telekomunikasi (Persero) Indonesia Tbk, PT Indosat Tbk and PT XL Axiata Tbk.

The telecommunication industry has played an important role in the development of Indonesia’s economy over the last few years. Not only has it increased connectivity across the country, it has also helped in stimulating other sectors of the economy like banking, finance, software, hospitality and trade. The telecommunication sector in Indonesia comprises several segments, namely mobile cellular services, fixed line services, internet and broadband services, and network infrastructure services. As of 2013, Indonesia was the world’s third largest telecommunication market in terms of mobile cellular subscribers, after China and India.

2014 was a tough year for the industry because of lower subscriber growth, fall in voice average revenue per user (ARPU) and forex losses. It was also a year of industry consolidation accompanied by retreat of CDMA operators. Data, internet and broadband services accounted for a substantial portion of operators’ revenue in the year. 2015 looks to be more promising with estimated industry growth of around 7-8%, according to the Ministry of Communication and Information Technology. Going forward, Indonesia’s young population and rising per capita income, coupled with an increase in smartphone penetration and data speeds, will add to the growth of this sector.

Key Points:

Mobile cellular penetration rate grew at a CAGR of around 30% during 2006-11. The penetration rate surpassed the 100% mark in 2011 and rose to 125.4% in 2013.

The total output of the information and communication sector grew at a CAGR of 27% during 2010-14. In FY14, the sector saw an output growth of 31% y/y.

During 2008-12, fixed wireline subscriptions grew at a CAGR of 5.7%. However, it saw a decline of 19% y/y in FY13.

During 2007-11, mobile wireless subscriptions grew at a CAGR of around 28%. However, after the penetration rate surpassed 100%, growth has softened. In FY14, it saw a growth of only 6% y/y.

1. Industry Profile
1.1 Sector overview
1.2 Sector size
1.3 Competitive landscape
1.4 Environmental scanning

2. Market Trends and Outlook
2.1 Key economic indicators-Indonesia
2.2 Mobile cellular segment
2.3 Fixed wireline segment
2.4 Internet & broadband segment
2.5 Network infrastructure
2.6 Market outlook

3. Leading Players and Comparative Matrix
3.1 Leading Players
3.1.1 PT Telekomunikasi (Persero) Indonesia Tbk (Telkom Indonesia)
3.1.2 PT Indosat Tbk (Indosat)
3.1.3 PT XL Axiata Tbk (XL)
3.2 Comparative matrix
3.3 SWOT analysis

4. Tables and Charts
Table 1: Status of different telecommunication services segments in Indonesia
Table 2: World mobile cellular subscription statistics
Table 3: Foreign players in the Indonesian telecom industry
Table 4: Household penetration rate of mobile services by province
Table 5: Key financial ratios of the leading tower management companies
Table 6: Key financial ratios of leading players

Chart 1: Mobile cellular penetration rate
Chart 2: Contribution of various sectors to Indonesian GDP
Chart 3: Gross domestic product from Indonesian communication sector
Chart 4: Position of People's Representative Council after 2009 elections
Chart 5: GNI per capita, PPP-Indonesia
Chart 6: Quarterly GDP growth rate-Indonesia
Chart 7: Trade balance of Indonesia
Chart 8: Average monthly USD to IDR exchange rate
Chart 9: Government budget deficit
Chart 10: CPI Inflation-Indonesia
Chart 11: BI rate-Indonesia
Chart 12: Number of mobile cellular subscribers-Indonesia
Chart 13: Household penetration rate of mobile cellular services
Chart 14: Share of mobile service providers in Indonesia by number of subscribers
Chart 15: Subscriber base of big three mobile service players
Chart 16: Minutes of usage per subscriber per month
Chart 17: Average revenue per user per month in IDR
Chart 18: Number of fixed wireline subscribers-Indonesia
Chart 19: Household penetration rate of fixed wireline services
Chart 20: Percentage of population using internet
Chart 21: Number of fixed line subscribers-Indonesia
Chart 22: Forecast for internet penetration rate in Indonesia
Chart 23: Revenue share by different segments of Telkom Indonesia
Chart 24: Total revenues of Telkom Indonesia
Chart 25: Profit margins of Telkom Indonesia
Chart 26: Revenue share by different segments of Indosat
Chart 27: Total revenues of Indosat
Chart 28: Profit margins of Indosat
Chart 29: Revenue share by different segments of XL
Chart 30: Total revenues of XL
Chart 31: Profit margins of XL

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