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Eastern Europe Middle East and Africa Pay TV Operator Forecasts

Eastern Europe Middle East and Africa Pay TV Operator Forecasts

Pan-African pay TV platforms are set to boom, according to a new report from Digital TV Research. According to the Eastern Europe Middle East & Africa Pay TV Operator Forecasts report, pay DTT platform GOtv will gain 5.84 million subs between 2014 and 2020 to reach 7.50 million – more than quadruple its 2014 total. 

Rival StarTimes will experience similar growth to climb by 4.39 million. GOtv’s sister operator and satellite TV platform DStv will gain 4.32 million subs and satellite TV platform Canal Plus 1.34 million.

The Pan-Arab satellite TV services will also add subs, with beIN Sports up by 768,000 and OSN by 630,000. Other big strides will take place in Russia, with Tricolor up by 2,473,000, Orion by 910,000 and Rostelcom by 873,000. Liberty Global will add 869,000 subs in Central and Eastern Europe.

Tricolor, Russia’s low-cost satellite TV platform, will remain the largest pay TV operator by subscribers. Pan-African DStv will climb to second place; rocketing by 56% to 12.06 million subs. Sister company GOtv will occupy fourth place by 2020. Rival StarTimes will also show strong growth.

Pay TV subscriptions for the 112 operators across 33 territories covered in the report will nearly double from a collective 56.5 million in 2010 to 102.1 million by 2020. Covering 182 platforms, these operators represent more than 90% of the region’s pay TV subscribers.

However, not all of the operators will add subscribers, with 14 expected to decrease between 2014 and 2020. Romania’s RCS-RDS will lose 477,000 TV subs between 2014 and 2020, followed by pan-Arab ART (down 293,000) and Hungary’s Digi TV (down by 88,000 subs). 

Total subscription and VOD revenues for the 112 operators will nearly double between 2010 and 2020 to almost $15 billion. DStv will remain the wealthiest operator over the forecast period, followed by Liberty Global. However, Russia’s Tricolor, the largest pay TV operator by subscribers, does not even make it into the top 10 operators by revenues. 

DStv will also be the biggest winner; increasing revenues by $1,246 million between 2014 and 2020. Sister company GOtv will follow by adding $545 million. More African growth will come from Canal Plus (up $484 million). Pan-Arab beIN will climb by $443 million. 

These revenues are for subscriptions and VOD only, and therefore do not include other revenues such as broadband, telephony, advertising, equipment sales and rental, etc.

Please Note: this is delivered as a Zip file.


Published in September 2015, this 146-page electronically-delivered report comes in two parts:
A 110-page PDF giving a global executive summary, operator analysis, country-by-country analysis and forecasts.
An excel workbook giving comparison tables and country-by-country forecasts in detail for 112 operators across 33 territories for every year from 2010 to 2020.
The excel workbook also contains country-by-country subscriber forecasts for ART, beIN Sports, Canal Plus, DStv, GOtv, Liberty GlobalOSN, StarTimes and Viasat.
Forecasts (2010-2020) contain the following detail for each country:
By country:
TV households
Digital cable subs
Analog cable subs
Pay IPTV subscribers
Pay digital satellite TV subs
Pay DTT homes
Total pay TV subscribers
Pay TV revenues
By operator (and by platform by operator):
Pay TV subscribers
Share of pay TV subscribers by operator
Subscription & VOD revenues
Share of pay TV revenues by operator
ARPU
Countries and operators covered:
Country No of ops Operators
Albania 2 Digitalb, Tring TV
Angola 3 ZAP TV, DStv, Canal Plus
Belarus 2 MTIS, Zala
Bosnia 3 Telemach, M:Tel; Total TV
Bulgaria 4 Blizoo, Bulsatcom, Vivacom, M:Tel
Cote d’Ivoire 3 Canal Plus, DStv, StarTimes
Croatia 2 Max TV/T-HT, Vip
Czech Rep 4 UPC, O2, Digi TV, CS Link
Egypt 3 ART, beIN, OSN
Estonia 3 Starman/Zuum, Elion, Viasat
Greece 2 Nova, OTE
Hungary 5 T-Home, Digi TV, UPC, Invitel, MinDig
Israel 2 HOT, Yes
Kenya 4 Zuku, DStv, StarTimes, GOtv
Latvia 4 Baltcom, Izzi, Lattelecom, Viasat
Lithuania 3 TEO, Cgates, Viasat
Mozambique 5 ZAP TV, DStv, Canal Plus, StarTimes, GOtv
Nigeria 4 GOtv, DStv, StarTimes, StarSat
Pan-Africa 4 Canal Plus, DStv, GOtv, StarTimes
Pan-Arab 3 ART, beIN, OSN
Poland 9 Multimedia Polska, UPC, Vectra, Inea, Toya, TP/Orange, Cyfra Polsat, NC+, Netia
Romania 4 RCS-RDS/Digi TV, UPC, Romtelecom, Orange TV
Russia 8 Akado, ER Telecom, MTS, Rostelecom, Beeline/Vimpelcom, NTV Plus, Tricolor, Orion
Saudi Arabia 3 ART, beIN, OSN
Serbia 2 SBB, Telekom Srbija
Slovakia 3 UPC, Skylink, Nova Digi/Slovak Telekom
Slovenia 3 Telemach, Siol TV, Total TV
South Africa 3 DStv, StarSat, GOtv
Tanzania 4 Zuku, DStv, StarTimes, GOtv
Turkey 4 Digiturk, D-Smart, Turksat, TTnet
UAE 5 eLife, Du, ART, beIN, OSN
Uganda 4 Zuku, DStv, StarTimes, GOtv
Ukraine 2 Volia, Viasat

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