Food and Grocery Retailing in Australia – Market Summary & Forecasts : Comprehensive overview of the market, consumer, and competitive context, with retail sales value and forecasts to 2019

1 Introduction

1.1 What is this Report About?

2 Executive Summary & Outlook

3 Market Context

3.1 Resilient economy offers abundant growth opportunities for retailers

3.1.1 Robust economy with growth potential - A positive sign for retailers

3.1.2 Rise in savings rate is a concern for retailers

3.1.3 Services sector continues to be the major sector for employment

3.1.4 Moderate inflation levels to benefit retailers

3.1.5 Steep rise in consumption expenditure- a key factor to reckon with

3.1.6 Increasing urbanization offers growth opportunities for retailers

4 Australian Shoppers

4.1 Australians prefer to shop through mobile devices

4.2 Online Shoppers are preferring offshore retailers over domestic retailers

4.3 Surge in usage of social media affecting the purchasing decisions

4.4 Rise in private label and discounted products sales

4.5 Consumers inclining towards omni-channel shopping

4.6 Growth in tourism sector to boost retail spending

5 Doing Business in Australia

5.1 Summary

5.1.1 Bureaucracy

5.1.2 Business culture

5.1.3 Infrastructure and logistics

5.2 Business reforms in Australia

5.3 Laws for foreign investors

6 Retail - Product Sectors

6.1 Product Sector Analysis

6.1.1 Food and Grocery

6.2 Food and Grocery Category Overview

6.2.1 Food and Grocery by Channel

6.2.2 Food and Grocery by Category

6.3 Food and Grocery Category Analysis

6.3.1 Drinks

6.3.2 Household Products

6.3.3 Packaged Food

6.3.4 Tobacco

6.3.5 Unpackaged Food

6.4 Major Retailers

6.4.1 Food and Grocery

7 Appendix

7.1 Definitions

7.1.1 This report provides 2014 actual sales; while forecasts are provided for 2015 - 2019

7.2 Summary Methodology

7.2.1 Overview

7.2.2 The triangulated market sizing method

7.2.3 Industry surveys in the creation of retail market data

7.2.4 Quality control and standardized processes

7.3 About Conlumino

7.4 Disclaimer

List of Tables

Table 1: Australia Food and Grocery Retail Sales (AUD mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014

Table 2: Australia Food and Grocery Retail Sales Forecast (AUD mn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019

Table 3: Australia Food and Grocery Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014

Table 4: Australia Food and Grocery Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019

Table 5: Australia Food and Grocery Retail Segmentation (% value), by Channel Group, 2009-2019

Table 6: Australia Food and Grocery Retail Sales (AUD mn), by Category 2009-2014

Table 7: Australia Food and Grocery Retail Sales Forecast (AUD mn), by Category 2014-2019

Table 8: Australia Food and Grocery Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Category, 2009-2014

Table 9: Australia Food and Grocery Retail Sales Forecast (AUD mn), by Category 2014-2019

Table 10: Australia Food and Grocery Retail Segmentation (% value), by Category, 2009-2019

Table 11: Australia Drinks Retail Sales (AUD mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014

Table 12: Australia Drinks Retail Sales Forecast (AUD mn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019

Table 13: Australia Drinks Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014

Table 14: Australia Drinks Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019

Table 15: Australia Drinks Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2009-2019

Table 16: Australia Household Products Retail Sales (AUD mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014

Table 17: Australia Household Products Retail Sales Forecast (AUD mn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019

Table 18: Australia Household Products Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014

Table 19: Australia Household Products Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019

Table 20: Australia Household Products Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2009-2019

Table 21: Australia Packaged Food Retail Sales (AUD mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014

Table 22: Australia Packaged Food Retail Sales Forecast (AUD mn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019

Table 23: Australia Packaged Food Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014

Table 24: Australia Packaged Food Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019

Table 25: Australia Packaged Food Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2009-2019

Table 26: Australia Tobacco Retail Sales (AUD mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014

Table 27: Australia Tobacco Retail Sales Forecast (AUD mn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019

Table 28: Australia Tobacco Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014

Table 29: Australia Tobacco Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019

Table 30: Australia Tobacco Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2009-2019

Table 31: Australia Unpackaged Food Retail Sales (AUD mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014

Table 32: Australia Unpackaged Food Retail Sales Forecast (AUD mn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019

Table 33: Australia Unpackaged Food Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014

Table 34: Australia Unpackaged Food Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel, 2014-2019

Table 35: Australia Unpackaged Food Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2009-2019

Table 36: Key Food and Grocery Retailers in Australia

Table 37: Australia Exchange Rate AUD-USD (Annual Average), 2009-2014

Table 38: Australia Exchange Rate AUD-USD (Annual Average), 2015-2019 Forecasts

Table 39: Conlumino Retail Channel Definitions

Table 40: Conlumino Retail Category Definitions

List of Figures

Figure 1: GDP Value (US$ billion), 2009-2014

Figure 2: Growth Rate of GDP (US$ billion, %), 2009-2014

Figure 3: GDP Value and Growth (AUD billion, %), 2008-2014

Figure 4: Forecasts for GDP Value and Growth (AUD billion, %), 2014-2019

Figure 5: Household Savings Rate (%), 2004-2014

Figure 6: Share of Employment by Sector (%), 2004 and 2014

Figure 7: Unemployment Rate (%), 2005-2014

Figure 8: Inflation Growth Rates (%), 2004-2014

Figure 9: Household Consumption Expenditure of Australia (AUD billion), 2004 and 2014

Figure 10: Household Consumption Expenditure of Major Countries (US$ billion), 2014

Figure 11: Growth of Household Consumption Expenditure (US$, %), 2004-2014

Figure 12: Rural and Urban Populations (millions) 2004, 2014 and 2019

Figure 13: Total Population and Growth Rate (Millions, %), 2004-2019

Figure 14: Population Split by Gender (%), 2014 and 2019E

Figure 15: Population Split by Age Group (%), 2014 and 2019

Figure 16: Per Capita Spend on Retail (AUD), 2006 and 2014

Figure 17: Per Capita Spend (AUD)and Total Retail Spend by Age Group (%), 2006 and 2019

Figure 18: Usage of Mobile Phones for Shopping on the Rise

Figure 19: Online Shopping through Overseas Websites

Figure 20: Omni channel shopper

Figure 21: Tourist arrivals to Australia, (in thousands), 2009 and 2014

Figure 22: Key Components of Doing Business in Australia

Figure 23: Share of Food and Grocery in overall Retail 2014 and 2019

Figure 24: Retail Sales Value and Growth (AUD billion, %) of Food and Grocery 2014-2019

Figure 25: Spend per Head on Food and Grocery 2014 and 2019

Figure 26: Online Spend in Food and Grocery 2014-2019

Figure 27: Online Share of total Food and Grocery Spend 2014 and 2019

Figure 28: Spending per Channel in Food and Grocery (%) 2014 and 2019

Figure 29: Australia Food and Grocery Retail Sales and Forecast (AUD mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2019

Figure 30: Australia Food and Grocery Retail Market Dynamics, by Channel Group, 2009-2019

Figure 31: Australia Food and Grocery Retail Sales and Forecast (AUD mn), by Category 2009-2019

Figure 32: Australia Food and Grocery Retail Market Dynamics, by Category 2009-2019

Figure 33: Australia Drinks Retail Sales and Forecast (AUD mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2019

Figure 34: Australia Household Products Retail Sales and Forecast (AUD mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2019

Figure 35: Australia Packaged Food Retail Sales and Forecast (AUD mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2019

Figure 36: Australia Tobacco Retail Sales and Forecast (AUD mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2019

Figure 37: Australia Unpackaged Food Retail Sales and Forecast (AUD mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2019

Figure 38: The Triangulated Market Sizing Methodology

Food and Grocery Retailing in Australia – Market Summary & Forecasts : Comprehensive overview of the market, consumer, and competitive context, with retail sales value and forecasts to 2019

Summary

Food and grocery is by far the largest product sector in Australia in terms of share of total retail sales. This sector is expected to witness a CAGR of 3.4% over the forecast period to reach AUD171 billion by 2019. Rapid pace of urbanization, increasing disposable incomes and improving living standards is set to drive the demand for high quality food and grocery products thereby auguring well for the market.

Key Findings

Improving living standards and burgeoning youth population is resulting in new consumption trends thereby increasing the per head expenditure on food and grocery.

Unpackaged food segment is expected to be the most promising market during the forecast period, with a CAGR of 4.8% over the next five years.

Private labels brands are gaining increasing adoption among the Australian consumers.

Sales through online channel are expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.4% during 2014-2019

Synopsis

“Food and Grocery Retailing in Australia – Market Summary & Forecasts” is a detailed sector report providing a comprehensive analysis of the emerging trends, forecasts and opportunities to 2019.

What else does this report offer?

A thorough analysis of consumer trends changing economic and population factors

Both qualitative and quantitative insights and analysis of the shifting food and grocery retail dynamics for drinks, household products, packaged food, tobacco and unpackaged food from 2009 to 2019

Sales of food and grocery products through the following channels from 2009 to 2019: Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters; food and drinks specialists; convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations; cash and carries and warehouse clubs; other general and non-specialist direct retailers; value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers; online; drug stores and health and beauty stores; vending machines; duty free retailers; department stores; other specialist retailers

An overview of key food and grocery retailers operating across Australia and their presence across distribution channels

Reasons To Buy

Gain a comprehensive knowledge on food and grocery sector in the Australian retail market and develop a competitive advantage from the start of your supply chain

Investigate current and forecast behaviour trends in food and grocery category to identify the best opportunities to exploit

Analyze the recommended actions to align your marketing strategies with the crucial trends influencing the consumer behavior

Understand the fastest growing categories including drinks, household products, packaged food, unpackaged food and tobacco in the market, with insights on performance across key channels from 2009, with forecasts until 2019

Explore novel opportunities that will allow you to align your product offerings and strategies to meet demand by analyzing the vital economic and population trends, key consumer and technology trends influencing the food and grocery market

Analysis of key international and domestic players operating in the food and grocery market – including store counts and revenues that give you a competitive edge - identify opportunities to improve your market share