Zimbabwe Banking & Financial Services Q4 2018
The economy’s lack of hard currency in recent years has been a real headwind to business activity, with liquidity riskdeterring potential investment. Efforts under the previous administration to improve liquidity – including the introduction of so-called bond notes and greater use of electronic payments – have not been enough to increase the availability of hard currency,muting investor sentiment and economic growth as a result. While the effects will be somewhat mitigated by inward flows of dollarson the back of a concessional lending and increasing investor sentiment, insufficient liquidity will likely continue to weigh onZimbabwe’s economic performance. With expectations of economic reform in the future, we have revised up our growth forecastfor the financial services sector for 2018 from 5.3% to 7.7%, with gross value added revised up from USD1.17bn to USD1.21bn. By2027, the size of the financial sector should have grown to USD3.72bn, more than tripling the 2018 level.
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