New Zealand Telecommunications Report Q4 2017

BMI View: Organic growth in the mobile segment will remain slow as the penetration rate inches towardsthe 134% mark. The 3G/4G LTE segment will see steady growth as operators continue to invest in highspeedadvanced solutions across the country. Furthermore, the regulators blocked the planned merger ofVodafone and Sky in early 2017, amid concerns that the enlarged entity would have dominated NewZealand's wireline and mobile broadband markets. That decision seems likely to stand given the small sizeof the market and the small pool of service providers available to consumers. We believe the merger wouldhave driven innovation in product pricing and bundling and made greater use of national and rural fibrenetworks. The decision to block the merger, on the other hand, benefits 2degrees, the smallest mobileoperator, giving it time to further develop its premium converged services business.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

All mobile connections to be on 3G/4G networks by 2020, although 2G platforms will still be availablefor machine-to-machine (M2M) applications. We now forecast 6.435mn mobile subscriptions by 2021.

BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data And Forecasts (New Zealand 2014-2021)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index
Table: Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q417
New Zealand Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Market Drivers & Trends
Wireline Voice & Broadband
Regulatory Development
Regulatory Overview
Industry Risks
Main Development: Vodafone-Sky Merger
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Players, New Zealand
Table: Mobile Market Overview
Table: Vodafone New Zealand
Table: 2degrees
Table: Spark
Table: Chorus Connections By Type ('000)
Table: SKY New Zealand
Company Profile
Vodafone New Zealand
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (New Zealand 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (New Zealand 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (New Zealand 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (New Zealand 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (New Zealand 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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