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Zambia & Zimbawe Telecommunications Report Q4 2017

BMI View: We have not made significant forecast revisions for the Q417 update as the Zambia andZimbabwe markets continue to perform in line with our forecasts. In Zimbabwe, we expect mobilesubscription growth to remain in positive territory throughout our forecast period, driven by increasingprice competition and network expansion to previously underserved areas of the country. The governmentseems keen on dominating all aspects of the telecoms sector, and while unlikely, we cannot rule out thatEconet might decide to exit the market, as the negatives outweigh the positives, especially recent decisionsimpact its profitability. In Zambia, mobile subscriptions will grow positively out to 2021. Advanced mobiledata services provide a useful opportunity for the operators to diversify their revenue streams away fromtraditional voice services. Unified licensing will create a more level playing field in Zambia's telecomsmarket, although economies of scale will see the three principal mobile-centric players continue todominate.

Latest Updates And Industry Developments

Zambia's mobile market rebounded by 1% y-o-y in Q217, on the back of a net additions by MTN andAirtel. Total subscriptions reached 12.403mn for a penetration rate of 72.6 %.

BMI Industry View
Zambia Telecoms
Zimbabwe Telecoms
Industry Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Zambia 2014-2021)
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2014-2021)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa - Telecoms Risk/Rewards Index, Q4 2017
Zambia Industry Risk/Reward Index
Zimbabwe Industry Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Market Drivers And Trends
Wireline Voice And Broadband
Market Drivers And Trends
Table: Telecel And NetOne Lag In Network Coverage, Dec 2016
Wireline Voice And Broadband
Table: Zimbabwe - Internet Subscriptions By Type, 2014-2016
Regulatory Development
Regulatory Overview
Industry Risks
Main Development: Taxes In Zimbabwe
Additional Developments
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Telecoms Services Providers
Table: Zimbabwe Mobile Market Overview
Table: Zambia Mobile Market Overview
Company Profile
Econet Zimbabwe
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Zambia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Zambia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Zambia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Zambia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Zambia 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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