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Zambia & Zimbawe Telecommunications Report Q3 2015

BMI View: The implementation of SIM registration regulations put a dent in mobile market growth in bothZambia and Zimbabwe's markets in 2014. Zambia's market has bounced back impressively as operatorsapply tower sharing strategies and the government takes a proactive approach to extending networkcoverage in rural areas. With reduced tariffs and a weak economic environment adding further challengesfor Zimbabwean operators, BMI believes all players stand to gain from the regulator's plans to forcetelecoms infrastructure sharing in the country.

Key data

Zambia's mobile market grew by 7.1% q-o-q and 17.8% y-o-y in Q115, making a strong recovery fromthe SIM registration process in 2013, and bringing subscriptions to 10.838mn for a penetration rate of69.8%.

Zimbabwe's mobile market contracted by 13.4% y-o-y in 2014 to 11.8mn subscriptions, as regulatorPOTRAZ implemented a 90-day active SIM definition. This dragged the penetration rate down to 80.8%,suggesting there remains considerable room for new subscriptions growth in the market.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Zambia Telecoms SWOT
Zimbabwe Telecoms SWOT
Industry Forecast
Zambia- Increased Investment Supports Sustained Return To Growth
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Zambia 2012-2019)
Zimbabwe
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2012-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Industry Risk Reward Index
Table: SSA Risk/Reward Index - Q315
Market Overview
Zambia
Table: Zambia - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014
Mobile
Wireline
Zimbabwe
Table: Zimbabwe - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014
Mobile Market
Table: Telecel And NetOne Lag In Network Coverage, Dec 2014
Wireline
Table: Zimbabwe's Internet Subscriptions, Q313-Q114
Mobile Content
Table: Selected Value-Added Services Developments, October 2014-January 2015
Regulatory Development
Zambia
Table: Zambia Telecoms Regulator
Zimbabwe
Table: Zimbabwe Telecoms Regulator
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Telecoms Services Providers
Company Profile
Econet Zimbabwe
Regional Overview
MFS Africa
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Zambia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Zambia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Zambia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Zambia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Zambia 1990-2025)
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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