BMI View: Hydropower will remain the dominant source of power output in Zambia over our 10-year forecast period, which will be cemented by the commissioning of the Kafue Gorge hydropower plant by 2020. The 'Scaling Solar' initiative will drive the development of renewables capacity in Zambia, with further upside risks coming from feasibility studies for geothermal electricity. The high reliance on hydropower will leave the country's power sector vulnerable to deficits in times of decreased rainfall.
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The Zambian government has stated that elevated water levels at reservoirs have enabled increased hydropower generation in 2017. This aligns with our forecasts that hydropower output in 2017 will increase by 17.7% from 2016.