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Zambia Power Report Q2 2016

Zambia Power Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Zambia will be reliant on power imports throughout 2016 as the drought hampers hydropowergeneration. Continued focus on hydropower investments will lead to an increase in generation that remainsvulnerable to future droughts, with the 300MW Maamba thermal power plant providing the only secureform of electricity generation from 2017 onwards

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

The Kariba dam's water levels have fallen below 14%, prompting the dam to be shut down. Furtherinspections have also been done with regard to any possible structural damage to the dam after a 4.6magnitude earthquake. The dam was reportedly within reach of the earthquake's epicentre.

The 120MW Itezhi Tezhi hydropower plant has been commissioned, with Tata Power owning a 50%stake in the project.

We have revised our forecasts for the 300MW Maamba coal-fired power plant. We now forecastgeneration to start towards the end of 2016, due to the completion date being constantly pushed forward.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Zambia 2014-2020)
Latest Updates And Structural Trends
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Zambia Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Zambia 2015-2020)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Zambia 2020-2025)
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Zambia Power Forecast Scenario
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2020-2025)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2014-2019)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2020-2025)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2020-2025)
Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2014-2019)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2020-2025)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2014-2019)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2020-2025)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
SSA Power Risk/Reward Index
Table: SSA Power RRI (Scores Out Of 100)
Zambia Power Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation and Competition
Pricing
SSA Key Policies/Market Structure
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape
Regional Overview
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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