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Zambia Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q1 2016

Zambia Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q1 2016

BMI View: Zambia's budget deficit will increase in 2016 thanks to another fall in copper production andthe Zambian kwacha will continue its trend of depreciation on the basis of a weak copper industry outlook.

Private and government consumption will remain the key drivers of growth, with resilient domestic demandhelping to offset weaknesses in the export sector. Growth will also be supported by a stable inflationaryenvironment.

Headline Expenditure Forecast

Pharmaceuticals: ZMW1.48bn (USD241mn) in 2014 to ZMW1.67bn (USD182mn) in 2015; +12.7% inlocal currency terms and -24.5% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar terms decreased compared tothe previous quarter.

Healthcare: ZMW8.32bn (USD1.35bn) in 2014 to ZMW9.18bn (USD1.0bn) in 2015; +10.4% in localcurrency terms and -26.0% in US dollar terms. Forecast decreased compared to the previous quarter.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Forecasts (Zambia 2013-2019)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2011-2019)
Healthcare Market Forecast
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2011-2019)
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2011-2019)
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2011-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Middle East and Africa Risk/Reward Index - Q1 2016
Zambia Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Regulatory Review
Market Overview
Healthcare Sector
Epidemiology
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Zambia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Zambia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Zambia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Zambia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Zambia 1990-2025)
Glossary
Methodology
Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast Model
Healthcare Expenditure Forecast Model
Notes On Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Index Overview
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Indicator Weightings

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