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Zambia Mining Report Q2 2015

Zambia Mining Report Q2 2015

BMI View: Miner's operating in Zambia will threaten to deter mining investment and shelve expansionprojects, due to the country's deteriorating regulatory environment. Copper will be the key driver of growthin Zambia's mining sector, while coal output growth will contribute modestly over the coming years.

Political Outlook - On 27 January 2015, Edward Lungu was elected as the Country's sixth President.

President Lungu's election will mean a continuation of the populist policies of recently deceased PFPresident Michael Sata, whose death in October 2014 prompted the January election. Nevertheless, we notethat President Lungu has not secured a strong mandate. With Zambia facing its greatest macroeconomicchallenges in recent years, and set to go to the polls once more in 2016, Lungu will face difficulties inmaintaining policy continuity beyond the next 18 months.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Copper: Regulations To Hurt Growth
Table: Zambia - Major New Copper Projects/ Expansions
Table: Copper Production Forecast (Zambia 2012-2019)
Coal: Production Ramp-Up
Table: Zambia - Coal Projects
Table: Coal Production Forecast (Zambia 2011-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Zambia Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Table: Zambia - Major Mining Projects & Expansions
Risks
Africa Risk/Reward Index
High Risks, Large Rewards
African Countries Trend Lower
Table: Africa - Mining Risk/Reward Index
Regulatory Development
Commodities Forecast
Commodity Strategy
Ferrous Metals
Non-Ferrous Metals
Aluminium: Abating Tightness To Cap Prices
Copper: Continued Weakness Ahead
Lead: Prices To Firm As Year Progresses
Nickel: Prices Will Only Rise Gradually
Tin: Waiting On A Deficit
Zinc: Modest Price Growth On Tighter Supply But Looser Demand
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
Table: Zambia Key Players - Comparative Valuation Metrics
Company Profile
First Quantum
Latest Results
Table: First Quantum: Key Financial Data
Vedanta Resources
Latest Financial Results
Company Strategy
Table: Vedanta Resources - Supply Chain Analysis
Company Details
Table: Vedanta Resources - Key Financial Data
Regional Overview
Regional Overview - Four Key Themes For 2015: Africa Mining
Gold To Retreat; Except In The DRC
West African Iron Ore On The Rocks
Job Cuts & Greater Mechanisation
Mining To Remain A Crucial Contributor To African GDP
Global Industry Overview
Global Overview
2. Stronger US Dollar To Persist
3. Iron Ore Market To Consolidate
5. Standouts In 2015
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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