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Vietnam Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Forecasts (Vietnam 2014-2020)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Vietnam 2014-2019)
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Vietnam 2020-2025)
Upstream Projects
Table: Vietnam - Key Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Oil Production (Vietnam 2014-2019)
Table: Oil Production (Vietnam 2020-2025)
Upstream Production - Gas
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Production (Vietnam 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Production (Vietnam 2020-2025)
Refining
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Vietnam 2014-2019)
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Vietnam 2020-2025)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Vietnam 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Vietnam 2020-2025)
Gas Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Consumption (Vietnam 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Consumption (Vietnam 2020-2025)
Trade - Oil
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Vietnam 2014-2019)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Vietnam 2020-2025)
Fuels Trade Forecasts
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Vietnam 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Vietnam 2020-2025)
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG)
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Net Exports (Vietnam 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Vietnam 2020-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Asia - Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Upstream Risk/Reward Index: Persistent Oil Price Weakness Underpins Bearish Outlook
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Downstream Risk/Reward Index: Projection For Weaker Economic Growth Undermines India's Scores
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Vietnam - Risk/Reward Index
Vietnam Upstream Index - Rewards
Vietnam Upstream Index - Risks
Downstream Scores
Market Overview
Vietnam Energy Market Overview
Oil & Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
Table: Refineries In Vietnam
Oil Storage Facilities
LNG Import Terminal
Gas Pipelines
Table: Major Gas Pipelines In Vietnam
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape Summary
Table: Key Players - Vietnam Oil And Gas Sector
Table: Key Upstream Players
Table: Key Downstream Players
Company Profile
Petronas Vietnam
PetroVietnam
Rosneft Vietnam
Zarubezhneft/Vietsovpetro
Other Summaries
Regional Overview
Industry Trend Analysis
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting

Vietnam Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Vietnam's self-sufficiency in crude oil and natural gas is poised to come to an end in 2018 and 2017, respectively, on account of declining production and rising demand. Large refining capacity additions over the next five years is set to exacerbate the country's reliance on crude imports, though this will help to reduce Vietnam's need for refined fuels imports in the short-to-medium term. The expected startup of several LNG import terminals will pave the way for Vietnam to begin first LNG imports, though any delays or cancellations to these projects pose significant downside risk to our forecasts. Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

Vietnam is set to become a net importer of crude oil and natural gas from 2018 and 2017, respectively, due to falling production and rising domestic energy requirements.

The coming online of two proposed LNG projects, the Thi Vai and Son My terminals (slated for 2017 and 2018, respectively), remains critical to our forecasts. As such, delays or cancellations to these projects could pose downside risk to our forecasts and increase the risk of a gas shortage.


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