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Vietnam Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

Vietnam Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

BMI View: We expect 2016 to see uneven growth across Vietnam's different freight modes.

Whereas on the back of improved domestic consumption and good trade dynamics road freight will grow by a strong 8.1% and air freight will also see a good year, rail freight will show a weak performance as domestic crude oil production will embark on a downward trend.

Over the medium term we expect these trends to continue.

We expect Vietnam to post strong economic growth of 6.6% in 2016, coming in on the back of strong FDI inflows, a pick-up in domestic credit growth and relatively low inflation of 2.1%.

Trade will grow strongly with exports and imports rising by 6.2% and 7.3% y-o-y respectively in real terms.

Despite the challenging regional environment, exports will post strong growth as the economic recovery in the USA, Vietnam's main trading partner, will make up for the weak demand from China and Japan.

Imports will benefit from the improved domestic environment, in particular the lower inflation rate, which is forecast to generally follow a more stable path over the coming years.

BMI Industry View
Freight Transport
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Vietnam 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Vietnam 2012-2019)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Vietnam 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Vietnam 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Vietnam 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Vietnam Airlines Cargo
Political Outlook
Short-Term Political Outlook
Long-Term Political Outlook
Table: Vietnam Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Vietnam 2010-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Vietnam 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Vietnam 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Vietnam 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Vietnam 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Vietnam 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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