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Venezuela Telecommunications Report Q2 2016

Venezuela Telecommunications Report Q2 2016

BMI View: The election of a more pro-business government offers hope that Venezuela's stagnant telecomsmarket can be reinvigorated through the application of external investment. However, the judiciary andcivil service are largely manned by socialist sympathisers, and we expect efforts to privatise incumbentCANTV will be resisted. Additionally, economic reforms will be slow to be applied and slower still to bringany tangible benefits, meaning that disposable incomes will remain low.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

The mobile market shrank markedly in 2015 owing to the disconnection of inactive accounts andfalling incomes. 3G/4G uptake proved more vibrant than expected due to state subsidies and enforcedlow tariffs. We forecast 29.4mn mobile subscriptions by 2020, of which 14.8mn will be 3G/4G.

The 'broadband' market has been shrinking as consumers discard dedicated mobile broadband accessin favour of smartphone-delivered voice-and-data services. The ageing last-mile access network ofCANTV cannot support wireline broadband expansion unless significant investment is obtained. Weforecast 3.5mn broadband subscriptions by 2020, versus 3.4mn at the end of 2015.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Industry SWOT
Industry Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Venezuela 2013-2020)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Latin America Telecoms Risk Reward Index
Table: Latin Americas Telecoms Risk/Rewards Index - Q216
Industry Risk/Rewards Index
Market Overview
Market Drivers & Trends
Mobile
Wireline Voice & Broadband
Table: Venezuela: Quarterly Broadband Subscribers (000) And Internet Revenues, 2013-2015
Pay-TV/Convergence
Table: Venezuela: Quarterly Pay-TV Subscriptions (000) And Revenues
Regulatory Development
Regulatory Overview
Table: Venezuela Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Regulatory Developments
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Players - Venezuelan Telecoms Sector
Mobile Operator Data
Table: Venezuela Mobile Market 2013-2015
Table: Movilnet
Table: Telefonica Movistar
Table: Digitel
Company Profile
Telefónica Móviles Venezuela
Corporación Digitel
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook 2015
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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