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Venezuela Shipping Report Q1 2016

Venezuela Shipping Report Q1 2016

BMI View: Throughput volumes at Venezuela's two largest ports will continue to fall in 2016, although wedo forecast an improvement on the larger falls of 2015. The country is facing a further year of recession.

The shipping industry will be affected by extremely high inflation, which is reducing consumers' purchasingpower, constraints on government spending as a result of falling oil prices, and the poor businessenvironment, which is also acting to deter importers.

We forecast that throughput at the port of Cabello will fall by 1.0% in total tonnage terms and 2.8% incontainer terms in 2016. The falls at La Guaira are set to be similar in scale, at 1.5% in tonnage terms and2.5% in box terms. However, this will be an improvement on 2015, and we see both ports returning togrowth in 2017. However, risks to our forecasts are to the downside, and the parlous state of the economywill continue to hamper growth in the shipping industry.

BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Puerto Cabello Throughput
Port Of La Guaira Throughput
Table: Major Ports Data (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Table: Trade Overview (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Table: Venezuela's Top Import Destinations, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Table: Venezuela's Top Export Destinations, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Market Overview
Venezuela Container Shipping Market Overview
Company Profile
Petróleos de Venezuela Marina
Shipping - Global Industry View
Bright Spot For Shipping: Low Bunker Prices
Table: BMI Bunker Fuel (IFO180 & MGO) Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months)
Long-Term Outlook
Risks To Outlook
Global Company Strategy
Maersk Line
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
Evergreen Line
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Venezuela - Private Consumption Forecasts
Table: Venezuela - Government Consumption Forecasts
Table: Venezuela - Fixed Investment Forecasts
Table: Venezuela - Net Exports Forecasts
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook 2015
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Venezuela 1990-2025)

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