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Venezuela Autos Report Q2 2016

Venezuela Autos Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Venezuela's autos sales and production will remain at all time low volumes over the 2016 to2020 forecast period, as extremely scarce access to foreign currency prevents auto companies fromimporting both completely built-up vehicles and the necessary components needed for production.

Key Views

Over 2016-2020 sales volumes will mirror output volumes as currency restrictions dry up imports.

Production will remain at record lows as currency restrictions prevent the import of key components.

Carmakers' new and innovative strategies of raising hard currency, such as Ford's dollarised domesticsales and Toyota's component export strategy, will ultimately end in failure due to governmentintervention.

The risk of one or more major automakers exiting production altogether has reached a critical level at50% probability.

There is a high risk of large-scale labour protests and disputes.


BMI Industry View
Key Views
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Venezuela 2014-2020)
Latest Developments
Table: Latest Developments
Structural Trends
Production
Threat Of Manufacturer Exit Is Now Critical
Dollarisation Of The Industry: A Way Out Of Deadlock?
Table: Production By Manufacturer, Units
Sales
Potential Demand is High But Sales Depend On Production
Passenger Vehicles
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Venezuela 2014-2020)
Latest Developments
Table: Latest Developments
Key Players
Table: Passenger Car Sales By Brand, Units
Commercial Vehicles
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Venezuela 2014-2020)
Latest Developments
Table: Latest Developments
Key Players
Table: Light Commercial Vehicle Sales By Brand, Units
Table: Heavy Truck Sales By Brand, Units
Table: Bus And Coach Sales By Brand, Units
Motorcycles
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Venezuela 2014-2020)
Latest Developments
Table: Latest Developments
Key Players
Table: Motorbike Sales By Brand, Units
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Brazil Makes Transition With Risk Improvement
Strategic Production Gives Canada A Boost
Central America Still Lagging
Regional Overview
Industry Trend Analysis
Table: Latin America - Autos Production Investment
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook 2015
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecasts
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators

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