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Uzbekistan Power Report Q2 2016

Uzbekistan Power Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Gas-fired power will remain the dominant source of electricity in Uzbekistan as strong domesticgas production, limited gas export outlets and modernisation of ageing gas-fired power generating capacitywill slow efforts to diversify the power mix. Economic headwinds will further weigh on power sectorexpansion, as plummeting prices for gold, cotton and copper will shrink export revenues significantly -representing a pertinent obstacle to an uptick in government-backed investment.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

The development of Kyrgyzstani and Tajikistani hydropower will remain a contentious issue in CentralAsia, as Uzbekistan strongly opposes developments due to worries that the downstream of the AmuDarya and Syr Darya rivers will suffer negative consequences.

Uzbekistan's main commodity exports gas, gold, cotton and copper have seen a sizeable plunge in pricesthroughout 2015, albeit the drop has not been as pronounced as oil. Together these commodities accountfor nearly two-thirds of Uzbekistan export basket. We expect commodity prices to remain subdued in andremain significantly below the levels seen in previous years. This will weigh on the government's abilityto fund an expansion in power sector capacity.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Uzbekistan Snapshot
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2013-2019)
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2020-2025)
Uzbekistan Industry Forecast
Gas Generation And Capacity Forecast
Coal Generation And Capacity Forecast
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast
Non-Hydropower Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2020-2025)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2014-2019)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2020-2025)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2020-2025)
Transmission & Distribution
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2014-2019)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2020-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
CEE Power Risk/Reward Index
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Regulation And Competition
Pricing
Uzbekistan Projects Database
Competitive Landscape
Uzbekenergo
Regional Overview
Europe - CEE Power: Affordable Coal To Trump Renewables
Table: Turkey - Ambitious Renewables Targets
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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