United States Tourism Report Q1 2016
BMI View: Tourist arrivals will grow by 2.6% in 2016, with growth set to continue to 2019 as a result ofgrowing arrivals from markets such as Latin America, and a robust domestic tourism market. This will havepositive implications for the accommodation sector, with major hotel groups continuing to expand theirpresence in the country.
Key Updates And Forecasts:
We view domestic tourism as a key component of the overall market and have introduced a new data setthis quarter to reflect this. We now track the average number of tourism departures per 1,000 of thepopulation, and assess that 0.24 US citizens per 1,000 will leave the US in 2016. This is a relatively lowfigure, indicating that many US citizens holiday within their own country.
We are now forecasting a decline in arrivals from Europe in 2016, falling by 1.09% to 16.6mn. We do notexpect European arrivals to return to growth until 2019, but believe that rising arrivals from LatinAmerica, and Mexico in particular, will compensate for this decline from Europe.
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