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United States Power Report Q4 2017

BMI View:

President Trump's decision to withdraw the US from the Paris Agreement on Climate Changewill have a limited impact on the country's power sector, as the administration had already excluded theimplementation of the Clean Power Plan. Nevertheless, we maintain that natural gas-fired capacity, as wellas wind and solar power projects, will be the dominant growth drivers of the US power market over thecoming decade. This will be the result of low gas prices, coupled with falling technology costs and statelevelpolicy support for renewables. In this context, we maintain a bleak outlook for the nuclear powersector in the country.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

On June 1, President Donald Trump announced that the US will withdraw from the Paris Agreement onclimate change, which had been brokered during the COP21 UN conference in December 2015. He alsosaid that he will immediately start the process to renegotiate the existing accord in a way that isadvantageous to US economic interests. The decision is a strong symbolic blow to international efforts tofight climate change. Nevertheless, we believe that the US's withdrawal from the accord will have only alimited impact on the US power sector. This is because with the Trump administration had alreadyindicated that it would not make efforts to achieve the decarbonisation targets set by the Paris Agreementwhen it pledged to abandon the Clear Power Plan.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (United States 2016-2022)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
United States Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (United States 2016-2021)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (United States 2021-2026)
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
United States Power Forecast Scenario
Table: US Nuclear Reactors - Planned Retirements And Additions
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (United States 2015-2020)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (United States 2021-2026)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (United States 2015-2020)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (United States 2021-2026)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (United States 2015-2020)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (United States 2021-2026)
Transmission & Distribution
Table: Canada-US Power Transmission Lines Under Development
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (United States 2015-2020)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (United States 2021-2026)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (United States 2015-2020)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (United States 2021-2026)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Europe (Region) - North America/Western Europe Power RRI: US Still Trumps A Weak European Power Market
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation And Competition
Table: Sections Of The Promoting Energy Independence And Economic Growth Executive Order
Sustainable Energy Policies
Pricing
United States Power Projects Database
Competitive Landscape
Table: Completed Acquisition Deals
Pacific Gas And Electric Company (PG&E)
Southern California Edison (SCE)
NextEra Energy (FPL And NextEra Energy Resources)
Southern Co.
Dominion
American Electric Power
Mid-American/PacifiCorp
Xcel Energy
Duke Energy Corporation
Company Profile
Duke Energy
Table: Duke Energy's 5-Year And 10-Year Investment Targets
Regional Overview
NAWE Power Key Themes
Table: Trump Presidency - Key Industry Plans And Implications
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Power Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Indicators - Explanation and Sources

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