United States Defence and Security Report 2017

BMI View: At present, the US is focusing on maintaining the military dominance necessary to uphold thecurrent international order. While the country will maintain a lead over our forecast period, it is becomingmore expensive and difficult to do so as rival powers grow in assertiveness and technological capability. USforeign and defence policy sometimes lack a unifying focus due to confrontation within the US governmentand the administration's questioning of certain traditional US foreign policy objectives. The goal ofmodernising the US military will hinge upon legislature supporting the administration's fiscal policy and onno new major military deployments absorbing significant shares of the defence budget. Threats fromRussian aggression, Chinese assertion in the South China Sea and terrorism will drive spending in thecoming years. Threats posed by North Korea and Iran also have the potential to escalate quickly andcyberwarfare risks will grow rapidly over the long term. These challenges will shape procurement prioritiesover the medium-to-long term. Some medium-term growth in domestic defence spending and increasingexports will improve the US defence sector outlook, with the US set to remain the largest defence exporterin the world for the foreseeable future. That said, there is growing competition from Russian and Chinesedefence exports.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Defence Expenditure Forecasts (United States 2016-2020)
SWOT
Defence Industry SWOT
Industry Forecast
Defence Expenditure
Table: Defence Expenditure (United States 2014-2019)
Table: Defence Expenditure (United States 2020-2026)
Defence Trade
Industry Risk Reward Index
Defence Industry Risk/Reward Index
Table: Developed States Defence Industry Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Defence Market Overview
Domestic Defence Market
Domestic Defence Market
Armed Forces Overview
Armed Forces
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (United States 2008-2016)
Table: Active Duty Personnel Stationed Overseas (As Of June 30 2017)
Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
International Threats
Company Profile
Boeing
L-3 Communications
Lockheed Martin
Northrop Grumman
Raytheon
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Weighting
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index

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