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United Kingdom Defence and Security Report 2017

BMI View:

The United Kingdom is entering a period of heightened geopolitical instability and faces aplurality of threats from rival great powers, terrorist groups and in the cyber domain as well as fromdomestic political instability. Islamist terrorism is the most immediate and active threat to the UK, with 3attacks in 3 months in 2017 that have strained the UK's security apparatus. Mounting geopoliticalchallenges to the US-led post-Cold War International order in Eurasia - which has been crucial to the UK'sprosperity and security - represent a more serious, long-term threat. The UK faces further uncertainty dueto the Brexit process - begun in March 2017 - which will offer headwinds to the economy although we doubtthat it will fundamentally damage the UK's security relationship with its European neighbours. We expectthat relatively sluggish economic growth to 2020 may force the MoD to revise its spending plans in thecoming years although defence expenditure will still remain above the 2.0% of GDP NATO-stipulatedtarget.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Defence Expenditure Forecasts (United Kingdom 2015-2020)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Defence Expenditure
Table: Defence Expenditure (United Kingdom 2014-2021)
Table: Defence Expenditure (United Kingdom 2020-2025)
Defence Trade
Exports
Imports
Industry Risk Reward Index
United Kingdom Defence Risk Reward Index
Table: Europe
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Defence Market Overview
Domestic Defence Sector
Domestic Market
Armed Forces Overview
Armed Forces
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (United Kingdom 2008-2015)
Table: United Kingdom
Security Overview
Company Profile
BAE Systems
GKN
QinetiQ
Rolls Royce
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Weighting
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index

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