United Arab Emirates Shipping Report Q1 2016

United Arab Emirates Shipping Report Q1 2016

BMI View: The UAE's shipping sector, one of the best developed and most important in the world, willcontinue to expand rapidly in 2016 and over the medium term. The Dubai port of Jebel Ali is the ninthlargest in the world in terms of container throughput, owing largely to transhipment volumes, while the AbuDhabi facility of Port Khalifa, only launched in late 2012, is expanding rapidly thanks to the KIZADindustrial zone being developed alongside it. It is due to these different sources of growth that we expectKhalifa's growth to far outpace Jebel Ali's in 2016 and beyond. Aside from the base effects of Khalifa stillbeing a relatively newly launched facility, Jebel Ali's reliance on transhipment trade will negatively impactit given our expectation of rocky global growth in 2016, with the eurozone in particular not lookingespecially healthy.

Headline Industry Data

Sharjah Terminals container throughput (KCT and SCT) is forecast to grow by 4.8% in 2016, averaging3.7% over the medium term.

Jebel Ali container throughput is forecast to grow by 4.6% in 2016. Through to 2019, we expect growthto average 3.6% annually.

Port Khalifa's box throughput will expand by 16.4% to 1. 575mn TEUs. Growth will remain strong,averaging 14.4% to 2019.

Total trade real growth is forecast at 9.0% in 2016 and to average 7.3% through to 2020.

BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Port Of Jebel Ali Throughput
Port Khalifa Throughput
Table: Major Ports Data (United Arab Emirates 2012-2019)
Table: Trade Overview (United Arab Emirates 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (United Arab Emirates 2012-2019)
Table: Main Import Partners, 2006-2013
Table: Main Export Partners, 2006-2013
Market Overview
UAE Container Shipping Market Overview
Company Profile
Abu Dhabi National Tanker Company
Gulf Energy Maritime
Gulf Navigation Holding
United Arab Shipping Company (UASC)
Shipping - Global Industry View
Bright Spot For Shipping: Low Bunker Prices
Table: BMI Bunker Fuel (IFO180 & MGO) Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months)
Long-Term Outlook
Risks To Outlook
Global Company Strategy
Maersk Line
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
Evergreen Line
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
GDP By Expenditure
Table: UAE - Private Consumption Forecasts
Table: UAE - Government Consumption Forecasts
Table: UAE - Fixed investment Forecasts
Table: UAE - Net Exports Forecasts
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)

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