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United Arab Emirates Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

United Arab Emirates Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

BMI View: We expect continued robust growth across the UAE's freight modes in the near term and overour medium-term forecast period to 2020. Massive investment into freight transport infrastructure - notleast the development of the UAE's nascent rail network - will ensure that growth in freight volumescontinues far beyond our forecast period. This will be driven not only by domestic demand, but will also bemassively informed by the UAE's becoming one of the world's foremost global transhipment hubs.

Looking at the UAE's domestic trade growth prospects, we are bullish in both real and nominal terms.

Looking first at real growth, we forecast an expansion of 5.1% in total trade in 2016, followed by a further4.9% in 2017. Imports will outpace exports, at 6.2% to 4.0% in 2016 and 6.0% to 3.7% in 2017. Thisreflects the shaky outlook for the oil sector, and the determination by the government to keep up spending,and the subsequent buoyant outlook for consumer spending. Real total trade growth to 2020 will average4.0% annually.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Freight Transport
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (United Arab Emirates 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (United Arab Emirates 2012-2019)
Table: The UAE's Top Import Partners, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Table: The UAE's Top Export Partners, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (United Arab Emirates 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (United Arab Emirates 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Aramex
Emirates SkyCargo
Etihad Cargo
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Some Risks Remain
Table: UAE - Political Table
Long-Term Political Outlook
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
GDP By Expenditure
Table: UAE - Private Consumption Forecasts
Table: UAE - Government Consumption Forecasts
Table: UAE - Fixed investment Forecasts
Table: UAE - Net Exports Forecasts
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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