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United Arab Emirates Freight Transport Report Q2 2015

United Arab Emirates Freight Transport Report Q2 2015

Our view on the UAE's freight transport sector remains overwhelmingly positive. Although our forecast forreal GDP growth is for real GDP growth of 4.0% in 2015 - marginally stronger than the 3.9% we estimatedfor 2014, but slower than 2013's expansion of 5.2% - we expect that growth across most freight transportmodes will range between 5.0% and 11.0%, driven by a trade expansion of 6.4%. Port Khalifa will be theoutperformer, where we project that throughput will expand by 10.9%.The country dominates the freighttransport sector in the region and its continued expansion to its ports and airports, now being matched byinvestment into the developing rail network, will ensure this remains the case.

Headline Industry Data

2015 air freight tonnes through Dubai International Airport forecast to grow by 5.8% and to average4.9% to 2019.

The Khalifa Port is forecast to enjoy gross tonnage handling growth of 10.9% in 2015. Growth over themedium term will average 10.0%.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Freight Transport
Political
Economic
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Air Freight
Table: Air Freight (United Arab Emirates 2012-2019)
Maritime Freight
Table: Maritime Freight (United Arab Emirates 2012-2019)
Trade
Table: Trade Overview (United Arab Emirates 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (United Arab Emirates 2012-2019)
Table: Main Import Sources, 2006-2013
Table: Main Export Partners, 2006-2013
Market Overview
Company Profile
Aramex
Etihad Cargo
Emirates SkyCargo
Political Outlook
Political Outlook I
Table: UAE - Political Outlook
Long-Term Political Outlook
Oil Price Outlook
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018)
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Fiscal Position Remains Solid
Oil Sector To See Only Marginal Gains
Risks To Outlook
Table: Economic Activity (United Arab Emirates 2009-2018)
Table: GDP By Expenditure (United Arab Emirates 2011-2018)
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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