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Ukraine Real Estate Report 2015

Ukraine Real Estate Report 2015

BMI View: We see long term potential in Ukraine's commercial real estate sector as continued growth inUkraine's export and infrastructure sector as the country emerges from recession and political unrest. Theexpected improving demand for commercial properties and relatively good yields make Ukraine a goodmarket for investors over the long term. However, the current uncertainty of Ukraine's political landscapehas had a detrimental effect on domestic business and consumer confidence together with the bankingsector for financing. Weak demand for commercial properties and relatively good yields make Ukraine arisky market for investors over the short term.

Ukraine's real GDP growth continues to be negative in 2015 at -7.2%, which is even worse comparing to therate in 2014 at -6.8%, with the current political turmoil on the situation with Russia and the potential for aresumption of fighting between the Ukrainian army and pro-Russia forces in the east. It shows a negativeeconomy as political issues are still underway with sharply depreciating hryvnia and persistent threat of amilitary invasion by Russia, which will be punitive to the commercial real estate market to increase the rentand occupancy level over the coming five years.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Office Industry Forecast
Table: Office Rental Rates
Table: Office Yields (%)
Retail Industry Forecast
Table: Retail Rental Rates
Table: Rental Yields (%)
Industrial Industry Forecast
Table: Industrial Rental Rates
Table: Rental Yields (%)
Residential And Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Ukraine 2013-2018)
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Ukraine 2019-2024)
Table: Major Projects - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure
Macroeconomic Forecast
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Real GDP By Expenditure Breakdown
Risks To Outlook
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Ukraine 2012-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Industry Risk Reward Index
Table: CEE Real Estate Risk Reward Index
Competitive Landscape
Property Developers
Property Managers
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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