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Ukraine Real Estate Report 2017

BMI View: There are promising signs of macroeconomic recovery in the Ukrainian economy. However,geopolitical tensions, poor business sentiment and a lack of quality supply continue to dampen demand forcommercial assets. Rents are declining in the office sub-sector due to the unfavourable market conditions,although rates in the industrial and retail sub-sectors are keeping steady as tenant demand improves.

Rebounding industrial production, increasing household purchasing power and on-going cooperation withthe International Monetary Fund (IMF) have helped the Ukrainian economy stabilise in 2017. Short-termsovereign risks have been contained, influencing revisions to our headline growth forecast for 2017, withreal GDP now forecast to grow 2.3% rather. The improving situation in Ukraine is indicative of theresilience of the economy to the negative impact of persistent separatist activity on the eastern border,which has led to a blockade on trade and transport into the Donbass region. Moreover, minimal ForeignDirect Investment (FDI) inflows have constrained overall investment activity.

BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Office Forecast
Table: Office Rental Rates, 2012-2017 (per sq m per month)
Table: Office Yields, 2012-2021 (%)
Retail Forecast
Table: Retail Rental Rates, 2012-2017 (per sq m per month)
Table: Rental Yields, 2012-2021 (%)
Industrial Forecast
Table: Industrial Rental Rates, 2012-2017 (per sq m per month)
Table: Rental Yields, 2012-2021 (%)
Residential And Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
Latest Updates
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Ukraine 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure Key Projects
Macroeconomic Forecast
Economic Analysis
Fallout of Donbas Blockade Subsiding
Retail Sector Remains Bright Spot
Economy To Remain Below Pre-Crisis Levels As Reform Implementation Stalls
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Real Estate Risk/Reward Index
Competitive Landscape
Property Developers
Property Managers
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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