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Ukraine Real Estate Report 2017

BMI View: There are promising signs of macroeconomic recovery in the Ukrainian economy. However,geopolitical tensions, poor business sentiment and a lack of quality supply continue to dampen demand forcommercial assets. Rents are declining in the office sub-sector due to the unfavourable market conditions,although rates in the industrial and retail sub-sectors are keeping steady as tenant demand improves.

Rebounding industrial production, increasing household purchasing power and on-going cooperation withthe International Monetary Fund (IMF) have helped the Ukrainian economy stabilise in 2017. Short-termsovereign risks have been contained, influencing revisions to our headline growth forecast for 2017, withreal GDP now forecast to grow 2.3% rather. The improving situation in Ukraine is indicative of theresilience of the economy to the negative impact of persistent separatist activity on the eastern border,which has led to a blockade on trade and transport into the Donbass region. Moreover, minimal ForeignDirect Investment (FDI) inflows have constrained overall investment activity.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Office Forecast
Table: Office Rental Rates, 2012-2017 (per sq m per month)
Table: Office Yields, 2012-2021 (%)
Retail Forecast
Table: Retail Rental Rates, 2012-2017 (per sq m per month)
Table: Rental Yields, 2012-2021 (%)
Industrial Forecast
Table: Industrial Rental Rates, 2012-2017 (per sq m per month)
Table: Rental Yields, 2012-2021 (%)
Residential And Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
Latest Updates
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Ukraine 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure Key Projects
Macroeconomic Forecast
Economic Analysis
Fallout of Donbas Blockade Subsiding
Retail Sector Remains Bright Spot
Economy To Remain Below Pre-Crisis Levels As Reform Implementation Stalls
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Real Estate Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Competitive Landscape
Property Developers
Property Managers
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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