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Ukraine Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

Ukraine Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

Ukraine's petrochemicals industry will remain beset with the problems caused by the country's politicalturmoil and resulting economic collapse. The devaluation of the hryvnia has added to the economicheadwinds, while the end-markets for petrochemicals - notably the automotive and construction sectors -remain in a slump. Even if consumption does recover, a return to pre-crisis levels of petrochemicals outputis unlikely and polymer and fertiliser plants will produce at a fraction of capacity, if they are operating atall.

BMI estimates that in 2015, rubber and plastic production was down 11% y-o-y, with rubber output falling20% y-o-y and plastic down 9%. The rate of rubber output decline eased in H215 with some growth fromSeptember. However, growth in the final months of 2015 was from a very low base and well below the ratenecessary to return to pre-crisis levels. Further upstream, most of Ukraine's refineries remain closed as of2015 leading to a severe underutilisation of its refining capacity with knock-on effects for the country'sembattled petrochemicals industry, which lacks sufficient local feedstock access.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Table: Ukraine Petrochemicals
Olefin & Polyolefin Data & Forecasts
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Private Consumption Forecasts (Ukraine 2013
2024)
Table: GDP Growth Forecasts (Ukraine 2013
2024)
Table: Government Consumption Forecasts (Ukraine 2013
2024)
Table: Fixed Investment Forecasts (Ukraine 2013
2024)
Table: Net Exports Forecasts (Ukraine 2013
2024)
Table: GDP Growth Forecasts (Ukraine 2013
2024)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100)
Ukraine Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
Upstream
Table: Refineries In Ukraine
Company Profile
Karpatneftekhim
Rosneft
Stirol
Regional Overview
Plant Turnarounds
Table: Europe Plant Turnarounds
Global Industry Overview
Global Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2014
2019)
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2020
2025)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ukraine 1990
2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ukraine 1990
2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Ukraine 1990
2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Ukraine 1990
2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ukraine 1990
2025)
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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