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Ukraine Mining Report 2015

Ukraine Mining Report 2015

BMI View: Ukraine's mining output growth will contract as ongoing hostilities between the Ukrainiangovernment and pro-Kremlin separatists have significantly damaged mining infrastructure and thecountry's investment outlook. Despite these dynamics, Ukraine's mining sector holds significant growthpotential due to the country's vast mineral reserves.

The economic and political situation in Ukraine is extremely volatile and considerable downside risksremain with regards to the country's mining sector. As a result, we expect Ukraine's mining sector growthwill contract by 1.0 y-o-y over 2015-2019. Despite this, the country's mining industry value will grow fromUSD6.8bn in 2015 to USD9.0bn in 2019.


BMI Industry View
Table: Ukraine - New Iron Ore Projects
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Iron Ore: Production To Stagnate Amidst Hostilities
Table: New Iron Ore Projects
Table: Iron Ore Production Forecast (Ukraine 2014-2019)
Coal: Ongoing Hostilities To Prevent Recovery
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Ukraine Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Industry Rewards
Country Rewards
Risks
Industry Risks
Country Risks
Table: Ukraine Production Forecasts (2014-2019)
Europe Risk Reward Index
Czech Republic Under Pressure
Modest Uptick For Finland
Table: Europe - Mining Risk/Reward Index
Regulatory Development
Trade & Investment Risk Analysis
Commodities Forecast
Monthly Metals Strategy
Ferrous Metals
Base Metals
Aluminium: Still Further Declines
Copper: Continued Weakness
Nickel: Persisting Fall
Zinc: Holding Steady, For Now
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
Table: Global Commodities Strategy
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Company Profile
Ferrexpo Poltava Mining
Table: Ferrexpo - Key Financial Data
Regional Overview
Europe's Four Key Mining Themes
Coal: Regional Stagnation, Yet Bright Spots Remain
Currency Weakness To Impact Trade Dynamics
Steel Oversupply To Curb Growth
Rare Earth Production To Shift Westwards
Global Industry Overview
Global Overview
2. US Dollar Strength To Continue
3. Price Weakness To Spur Iron Ore Consolidation
4. Asian Powerhouses To Change Investment Patterns
5. The Outperformers Of 2015
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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