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Ukraine Metals Report 2016

BMI Industry View
SWOT
Metals SWOT
Industry Forecast
Steel: Growth Story On Hold
Growth To Pick Up Thanks To Construction
Table: Steel Production & Consumption (Ukraine 2011-2019)
Table: Ukraine - Steel Industry Historical Data, 2004-2013 ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise)
Commodities Forecast
Commodities Outlook
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
Table: Largest European Listed Metals Producers
Company Profile
ArcelorMittal
Company Overview
Company Strategy
Latest Financial Results
Company Details
Financial Data
Table: ArcelorMittal - Key Financial Data
Global Company Strategy - RUSAL - Q1 2015
Latest Results
Table: Rusal - Supply Chain Analysis
Table: RUSAL - Key Financial Data
Methodology
Cross Checks

Ukraine Metals Report 2016

After back-to-back years of contraction in both production and consumption in the metals sector in theUkraine in 2013 and 2014, the sector turned a corner last year. Despite being rocked by the ongoing conflictwith Russia and the subsequent political and economic uncertainty BMI estimates that the sector bouncedback to post a 3.5% y-o-y gain in output and a 3.1% y-o-y increase in use. Going forward, Ukraine's metalssector will see modest growth over our forecast period to the end of 2018, with a handful of new projects toincrease production growth. Production will not return to pre-crisis highs, however, due to globalovercapacity and steel prices not making substantive gains over 2013 - they have, however, since improved.

There are no major expansions on the cards, and no major players in either the aluminium or steel industrieshave announced substantial investment plans.

Figures recorded during the first eight months of 2015 have certainly been supportive of this view. Metalstrader Ukrainian Mining and Metallurgical Company has published data that shows that Ukrainian exportsof steel products grew by 2.3% y-o-y to 17.9mn tonnes in January-August 2015 (latest available data).

Ukraine's exports of pig iron totalled 1.6mn tonnes in the reported period, up by 22% y-o-y during the sametime period.


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