Uganda Telecommunications Q4 2019
In this Q419 update, we retain our long-held outlook for the market's positive growth through to the end of our forecastperiod in 2028. 3G/4G uptake will be the key growth driver with the demand for data fuelled by growth in the usage of socialnetworking, data-centric value-added services and mobile financial services. Despite this, we expect short-term volatility from H219following another round of mandatory SIM registration which before the market resumes its upward growth trajectory. In thewireline segment, fixed to mobile substitution will continue to weigh on the growth of fixed voice subscriptions. Meanwhile, thegovernment is still looking for a new investor in Uganda Telecom, the incumbent operator of Uganda's limited and outdated wirelineinfrastructure and third player in the mobile market with little above 10% market share. Nevertheless, we are positive about theuptake of broadband services due to government and operator investment in fibre optic networks. In May 2019, the governmentexpanded its national fibre backbone to the West Nile and Karamoja region; while improving links to South Sudan and theDemocratic Republic of Congo.
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