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Uganda Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

Uganda Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

BMI View: A resolution of the refinery dispute, the signing of a MoU with oil companies and the award ofCNOOC's Kingfisher production licence are finally paving the way for the country to become an oilproducer. However, we forecast first oil in Uganda in 2020. A series of limitations, most notably theinfrastructure projects required for oil exports, will see upstream developments proceed slowly, andpreclude oil production until 2020 at the earliest. This is far behind the government's official oil target of2016/2017.

Latest Updates and Key Forecasts

With reserves of 2.5bn barrels of crude, Uganda has Sub-Saharan Africa's fourth-largest crude reserves,behind Nigeria, Angola and South Sudan. There is limited short-term upside risk to reserves: currentexploration and appraisal campaigns are reaching an end and new exploration will wait until moreconcrete progress is made towards developing existing discoveries.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Forecasts (Uganda 2013-2019)
Latest Updates and Key Forecasts
SWOT
Oil & Gas SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Latest Update
Structural Trends
Table: Companies Expressing Interest In Bidding
Upstream Projects
Table: Upstream Project Database
Upstream Production - Oil
Latest Update
Structural Trends
Table: Applications Made For Production Licences In Uganda
Table: Oil Production (Uganda 2013-2018)
Table: Oil Production (Uganda 2019-2024)
Upstream Production - Gas
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Production (Uganda 2013-2018)
Table: Gas Production (Uganda 2019-2024)
Refining
Latest Update
Structural Trends
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Uganda 2013-2018)
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Uganda 2019-2024)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Latest Update
Structural Trends
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Uganda 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Uganda 2019-2024)
Gas Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Consumption (Uganda 2013-2018)
Table: Gas Consumption (Uganda 2019-2024)
Trade - Oil
Crude Oil Trade
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Uganda 2013-2019)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Uganda 2019-2024)
Refined Fuels Trade
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Uganda 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Uganda 2019-2024)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Africa Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: BMI's Africa Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Above-Ground Risks Dulling Below-Ground Potential
Table: BMI's Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Downstream Sector Holds Limited Opportunity
Table: BMI's Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Uganda - Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Uganda Energy Market Overview
Regulatory Structure
Political Regime
Fiscal Regime
Table: Uganda Fiscal Regime
Licensing Regime
Table: Uganda Licensing Regime
Licensing Rounds
Table: Current Licenses
Oil & Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
Table: Uganda Refinery
Oil Storage Facilities
Table: Uganda Main Oil Storage Facilities
Table: Uganda Oil Pipelines
Company Profile
CNOOC
Total
Tullow Oil
Regional Overview
Africa - Bullish Gas, Bearish Oil
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting

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