Uganda Commercial Banking Report Q4 2017

Uganda Commercial Banking Report Q4 2017

BMI View:

Uganda's financial and insurance sector will remain under-developed even with above-trend growth. In 2017, financial sector gross value added (GVA) will grow 14.4% in local currency terms and 10.7% in US dollar terms to UGX2.26trn (USD0.63bn), following a recession in the sector in 2016. Over the next 10 years, we envisage the sector will grow to UGX5.81trn (USD1.49bn). However, the sector's contribution to the overall economy will not significantly increase, rising from just 2.43% of total GVA in 2017 to 2.5% by 2026.

Uganda has an under-developed financial sector with a population that is under-banked and under-insured. Having gone through a period of liberalisation, the effort is now on expanding services to a broader range of customers with a focus on the growing middle-class and a business community that is primarily comprised of micro, small- and medium-sized enterprises. There is substantial room for growth with the expansion of capital markets likely to unlock new finance streams, retail investors growing in number and life insurance set to rise in prominence.

BMI Industry View
Banking & Financial Services Industry View
Table: Financial Services Forecasts (Uganda 2015-2020)
Table: Financial Services Forecasts (Uganda 2021-2026)
Banking & Financial Services
Banking Snapshot
Forecast Scenario
Table: Key Banking Forecasts (Uganda 2015-2021)
Forecast Tables
Table: Assets Forecasts (Uganda 2015-2020)
Table: Assets Forecasts (Uganda 2021-2026)
Table: Liabilities Forecasts (Uganda 2015-2020)
Table: Liabilities Forecasts (Uganda 2021-2026)
Table: Key Ratios Forecasts (Uganda 2015-2026)
Competitive Landscape
Table: Top 10 Commercial And Retail Banks By Total Assets, UGXmn
Table: Top 10 Banks - Asset Quality
Table: Top 10 Banks - Earnings & Profitability
Table: Top 10 Banks - Capital & Leverage
Table: Top 10 Banks - Funding & Liquidity
Regulatory Environment
Insurance Snapshot
Table: Gross Insurance Premiums Written (Uganda 2015-2020)
Table: Gross Insurance Premiums Written (Uganda 2021-2026)
Competitive Landscape
Table: Top 5 Life Insurance Companies By Gross Premiums, USDmn
Table: Q117 Life Insurance Performance (UGX '000)
Table: Top 10 Non-Life Insurance Companies By Gross Premiums, USDmn
Table: Q117 Non-Life Insurance Performance (UGX '000)
Regulatory Environment
Asset Management
Asset Management Snapshot
Competitive Landscape
Table: List of Licensees
Regulatory Environment
Stock Exchanges
Stock Exchanges Snapshot
Competitive Landscape
Table: Market Capitalisation by Stock (August 2017)
Regulatory Environment
Macroeconomic Overview
Economic Analysis
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Table: Macroeconomic Indicators (Uganda 2016-2026)
Household Income Data
Table: Household Income Data (Uganda 2015-2021)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Uganda 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Uganda 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Uganda 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Uganda 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Uganda 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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