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Turkey Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015

Turkey Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015

BMI View: The Turkish petrochemicals market is set for heightened risk as a result of the uncertaintiescreated by the June election result, but the industry will continue to expand along the ambitious goals setout by SOCAR, the Azerbaijani owner of Turkish producer Petkim.

BMI is forecasting GDP growth of 2.8% and 3.5% in Turkey in 2015 and 2016 respectively with a periodof slower growth over the medium term. The June 7 general election has increased short-term political risksand policy uncertainty, which will undermine potential growth in the coming quarters. Nevertheless, theTurkish petrochemicals market should be supported by the strengthening, export-oriented automotiveindustry. Strong export growth to Europe drove a 15.8% increase in Turkish passenger car production in2014. This looks set to continue in the coming months as the regional market improves further, and BMIforecasts 11.2% output growth in 2015.

BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Table: Turkey - Petrochemicals Capacity Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000tpa)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Turkey 2010-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
Russia and Ukraine Under Pressure
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100)
Turkey Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
Petkim's Growth Plans
Polymers Investment
Company Profile
Table: Petkim's Financial Results (TRYmn), 2011-2014
Turkish Petroleum Refineries Corporation
Table: Tüpras' Financial Results, 2011-2014
Regional Overview
Energy Prices And Greek Crisis Will Determine Margins
Trouble In The East
Global Industry Overview
Could US Gas Run out?
Project Curtailments
Medium-term Outlook
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-Year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018)
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Turkey 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Turkey 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Turkey 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Turkey 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Turkey 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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