Turkey Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

Turkey Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Turkey will continue to increase its consumption of crude oil, natural gas and refined fuelsthroughout our forecast period, which goes as far as 2020, remaining a net importer of all three. Positiveexploration results in the Thrace Basin present upside risk to our gas production forecast.

The main trends and developments we highlight for Turkey's oil and gas sector are:

With Russian-Turkish relations in a precarious state, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has stated thatmoving away from Russian energy dependence is a priority, with Turkey importing more than 50% of itsnatural gas and 11% of crude oil from Russia in 2015. However, we anticipate little change to Russia'sprominent role in Turkey's energy mix as, according to our Turkey Country Risk analysts, politicalrhetoric seldom has real economic implications.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Forecasts (Turkey 2014-2020)
SWOT
Oil & Gas SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Upstream Projects
Table: Turkey - Key Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Oil Production (Turkey 2014-2019)
Table: Oil Production (Turkey 2020-2025)
Upstream Production - Gas
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Production (Turkey 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Production (Turkey 2020-2025)
Refining
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Turkey 2014-2019)
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Turkey 2020-2025)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Turkey 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Turkey 2020-2025)
Gas Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Consumption (Turkey 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Consumption (Turkey 2020-2025)
Trade - Oil
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Turkey 2014-2019)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Turkey 2020-2025)
Fuels Trade Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Turkey 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Turkey 2020-2025)
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG)
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Net Exports (Turkey 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Turkey 2020-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Central And Eastern Europe Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: CEE: High Risk, Low Reward
Table: CEE Upstream, Downstream And Overall Risk/Reward Index
Upstream: China Still The Target Market
Table: CEE Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Downstream: Turkish STAR Only Bright Spot In Weak Market
Table: CEE Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Turkey - Risk/Reward Index
Turkey Upstream Index
Turkey Downstream Index
Market Overview
Turkey Energy Market Overview
Regulatory Structure
Fiscal Regime
Table: Turkey - Upstream Tax Regime
Licensing Regime
Table: Turkey - Contracts and Licensing Regime
Oil And Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
Table: Oil Refineries In Turkey
Service Stations
Oil Terminals/Ports
Oil Pipelines
LNG Terminals
Table: LNG Terminals In Turkey
Gas Pipelines
Gas Storage
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape Summary
Table: Key Players In Turkey's Oil & Gas Sector
Table: Key Upstream Players
Company Profile
Türkiye Petrolleri Anonim Ortakligi (TPAO)
Turkish Petroleum Refineries Corporation (Tüpras)
OMV Petrol Ofisi
Other Summaries
Regional Overview
Central And Eastern Europe Oil & Gas Regional Overview
Oil Production: Output Growth Stalling
Oil Consumption: Weak EM Growth Softens Demand
Refining Capacity: Modernisation Over Capacity Growth
Natural Gas Production: Gas Ramp-Up Depends On China's Hunger
Table: Central Asia-China Gas Pipeline Expansions
Gas Consumption: Demand Falters On Struggling Economies
Table: Central & Eastern Europe - Oil & Gas Production & Consumption, Refining Capacity & Trade
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting

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