Turkey Metals Report 2016
BMI View: As one of Europe's largest steel industries, Turkey has borne the brunt of the current steeloversupply on the international market and continued drop in prices. Steel exports faced particularchallenges over 2015 as they have come up against rising competition from Chinese supplier. However, arelatively favourable domestic demand scenario should ensure positive growth in Turkish steel output over2016, which should carry through to the end of our forecast period.
Though remaining among the leading centres for steel production in Europe, Turkey's steel makers willcontinue to face ongoing challenges over the coming months as narrowing export opportunities andincreased competition from overseas producers weigh on crude steel prices and output. We expect Turkey'stotal crude steel production to have fallen by 6.5% year-on-year (y-o-y) during 2015, with the declineresulting to a large extent from a much harsher environment for exports, many of whom have traditionallyrelied on steady demand from European and the US as well as the CIS region. Like other steel makers inEurope, Turkish mills have found themselves affected by the current glut in Chinese production. Chinesecrude steel exports grew by 26.5% y-o-y during the first eight months of 2015, while Turkish shipmentscontracted by 8.4% over the equivalent period. Falling sales volumes have been reflected in the financialresults of Turkish steel makers, with one of the country's two lead producers, Kardemir, reporting a 24%dip in sales in 2014
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