Tunisia, Algeria and Libya Telecommunications Q4 2019
Tunisia's, Algeria's and Libya's telecommunications markets continue to perform in line with our forecasts in this Q119update. 3G/4G uptake will be a key growth driver in Algeria’s mobile market as operators continue to deploy advanced networks inthe country. We note that risks are to the upside as income growth trends and continued investments by operators could supporthigher uptakes. The Libyan market is still constrained by a myriad of industry-specific and country risk factors, including lack ofmarket liberalisation and the dire security situation in the country. Although, the country is slowly recovering, private investment willcontinue to be discouraged by an unfavourable business environment. Meanwhile, we maintain our core view that Tunisia willwitness a positive but relatively slow pace of change in what will continue to be a mobile-orientated market through to the end ofour forecast period in 2028. Despite this, mobile money platform interoperability will allow for the emergence of advanced value-added services (VAS) needed to attract greater spending on mobile platforms, which will aid subscriber and revenue growth. We arealso broadly positive about the uptake of broadband services due to government and operator investment into fibre optic networksin both Tunisia and Algeria.
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