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Tin Metals Report Q2 2016

Tin Metals Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Tin prices will be capped by US dollar strength in 2016, leading us to trim our price forecast toUSD14,500/tonne. Beyond 2016, prices will recover gradually as the global tin market posts sustainedmarket deficits and inventories dwindle.

Latest Developments And Structural Trends

Price Forecast

We now forecast tin prices to average USD14,500/tonne in 2016 and USD15,750/tonne in 2017,compared to USD15,000/tonne and USD16,500/tonne previously. Although we maintain our view that tinprices will bottom in 2016, downward pressure will be more severe than we previously expected in H116and the rebound more gradual. Persistent global deficits will underpin prices in the coming years anddrive a modest price recovery from 2017. Our new price forecasts place us below both BloombergConsensus estimates and the LME futures curve out to 2019.

BMI Industry View
Table: Global
Tin Supply, Demand & Price Forecasts
Price Forecast
Commodities Forecast
Table: BMI Tin Price Forecast
Table: Tin Forecasts
Global Trends In Supply, Demand And Trade
Industry Trend Analysis
Table: Global Tin Forecasts
Table: Tin Production Forecasts
Table: Tin Consumption Forecasts
Mine Supply: Tin Ore
Global Industry Overview Tin: Slowing Growth To Continue
Table: Global Selected Tin Projects
Competitive Landscape
Table: Global
Top 10 Tin Producers By 2014 Output
Table: Selected Tin Companies, 2014
Company Profile
Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad
Table: MSC
Key Financial Data
Table: Minsur
Latest Annual Financial Results
PT Timah
Table: PT Timah
Key Financial Data
Yunnan Tin
Table: Yunnan Tin
Latest Annual Financial Data
Data Appendix
Tin: Production Balance
Table: Global Tin Forecasts
Production Forecast
Table: Tin Production Forecasts
Consumption Forecast
Table: Tin Consumption Forecasts

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