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Thailand Water Report Q1 2015

Thailand Water Report Q1 2015

BMI View: This quarter we have revised and expanded our forecasts for the water sector. We now covernon mains consumption and treated wastewater. With the continued stalling of the project pipeline and thepersistent risk of both drought and flood damage, in conjunction with high losses and limited sanitationfacilities, we view the Thai water sector as offering minimal opportunities and high risks to both servicesand infrastructure companies. The recent announcement that some urgently needed works are to berestarted is a positive step; however, we still anticipate delays and cancellations.

On March 12 2014, the central bank cut the benchmark policy rate by 25 basis points to 2.00%, the lowestsince January 2011. Given that the Thai economy remains relatively fragile, we expect the benchmarkinterest rate to remain at 2.00% for the remainder of 2014 and into H115 to facilitate an economic rebound,with monetary tightening to only take place in H215. Domestic borrowing costs could therefore remainattractive for construction companies to take up new projects or carry out capital-intensive constructionworks. The re-establishment of the country's legislative body - the National Legislative Assembly (NLA) -and the formation of an interim government in August 2014 have increased political stability in Thailandover the near-term. This in turn has also provided greater clarity over Thailand's public sector disbursementsfor fixed-asset investment in FY2014/15.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Water
Political
Economic
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Water Extraction
Table: Thailand Water Extraction, 2011-2018
Water Consumption
Table: Thailand Water Consumption, 2011-2018
Water Treatment & Sanitation
Table: Thailand Sanitation
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Table: Asia Water Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Water Supply & Consumption
Industrial & Agricultural Water Consumption
Distribution
Treatment & Sanitation
Regulations And Tariffs
Table: Water Tariffs
Industry Trends And Developments
Competitive Landscape
Ministry Of Natural Resources And Environment
Ministry Of Agriculture And Cooperatives
Pollution Control Department
Water And Flood Management Commission
Department Of Water Resources
Thai Tap Water Supply Public Company
Eastern Water Resources Development And Management Public Company
Private Water Companies
Global Industry Overview
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Thailand 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Thailand 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Thailand 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Thailand 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Thailand 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Water Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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