Thailand Telecommunications Report Q4 2015
BMI View: The Thai telecoms industry has faced a multitude of challenges in the past year with thegovernment and the Prime Minister approving a variety of controversial new laws and policies thatthreaten to send the market into an industry model akin to the concession-based revenue sharing regime asprivate companies partner with inefficient state owned enterprises. AIS intense to develop a nationwidebroadband network to rival TrueOnline and TOT, whilst True has committed to further 3G and 4Gexpansion. The spectrum auction intended to take place in November 2015 is marred by legislative troublesand the mandatory sim registration will have a negative impact to our forecast in the months to come.
Strong demand for 3G/4G services helped sustain subscription growth momentum in FY2014, althoughmuch of this was achieved through cannibalisation of the existing 2G market. However, in light of recentevents, we have made downward revisions to our five-year mobile sector forecast and expect there to bejust under 99mn subscriptions by 2019.
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