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Thailand Agribusiness Report Q4 2017

BMI View: Thailand will maintain its status as a key Asian agricultural provider in the coming years, asthe sector boasts strong export opportunities and government support, as well as an efficientfood producing industry. The sugar and livestock sectors hold promising growth stories. However, thegovernment's interference in the market, especially in the rice sector, will hinder the competitiveness ofThai production compared to its Asian rivals. Rice production will face downward pressure as thegovernment incentivises farmers to switch away from rice towards other crops, mainly sugarcane, in a bidto curb oversupply of rice. That said, Thailand will likely regain its status as the world's largest riceexporter in the coming years as production picks up after the drought recorded in 2015-2016.

Key Forecasts

Sugar production growth to 2020/21: 19.3% to 11.6mn tonnes. 2017 will be a period of uncertaintyfor the sector as the country is about to reform its decade-old sugar policy. We believe the upcomingchanges are unlikely to negatively affect the positive outlook for sugar production and exports, as thegovernment appears committed to supporting cane acreage and sugar by-products diversification.

BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Grains Outlook
Table: Thailand - Corn Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Thailand - Risks To Grains Outlook
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Thailand 2013-2021)
Rice Outlook
Table: Thailand - Rice Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Thailand - Risks To Rice Outlook
Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Thailand 2014-2021)
Sugar Outlook
Table: Thailand - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Thailand - Risks To Sugar Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Thailand 2014-2021)
Dairy Outlook
Table: Thailand - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Thailand - Risks To Dairy Outlook
Table: Dairy Production And Consumption (Thailand 2014-2021)
Livestock Outlook
Table: Thailand - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Thailand - Risks To Livestock Outlook
Table: Livestock Production & Consumption (Thailand 2014-2021)
Commodity Price Forecasts
Commodities Performance And Forecasts
Table: BMI Commodities Views
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Asia GM Outlook
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares)
Asia Machinery Outlook
Asia Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Food Sales (Thailand 2014-2021)
Regional Overview
Table: India - Ongoing Agricultural Policy Reforms
Table: Australia - The Agricultural IoT And Technology Ecosystem
Competitive Landscape
Table: Major Thai Agribusiness Companies
Charoen Pokphand Foods
Table: CPF - M&A Activity 2014-2017
Table: Charoen Pokphand Foods' Financial Highlights, 2012-2016
Global Company Strategy - Khon Kaen Sugar Industry PCL
Table: Khon Kaen Sugar Industry PCL Financial Highlights 2011-2016
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Thailand 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Thailand 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Thailand 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Thailand 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Thailand 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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