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Tanzania Shipping Report Q1 2016

Tanzania Shipping Report Q1 2016

BMI View: Tanzania's location on the Indian Ocean enables it to serve as an entrypoint for the landlockedhinterland states of the EAC - namely Burundi, Rwanda and Uganda, and for the DRC additionally. As aresult, we expect that Tanzania's shipping sector will continue to enjoy robust growth as it will benefit notonly from domestic demand but also that of these states. Real GDP growth in the EAC is set to averagemore than 6% over the course of our forecast period, and a similar growth rate will be enjoyed by Tanzaniaitself, and this will drive both container and gross tonnage volumes upwards. At present, the Tanzanianshipping sector is somewhat constrained by the reliance on the port of Dar es Salaam, where developmenthas lagged demand and problems with congestion are a frequent occurrence. However, over the mediumterm this will ease as a major new facility is being constructed at Bagamayo, with Chinese investment.

Work on this began in H215.

Recent Developments

Bagamoyo Port Construction Starts: Construction of the Bagamoyo Port project in Tanzania began onOctober 16. The project, estimated to cost USD10bn, will reportedly include a port, supportinginfrastructure and a 17sq km industrial park. The first phase of the project will include building the portaround an area of 8sq km in Bagamoyo District. 'Apart from the sea port and the port side industrial zone,the project includes support infrastructure in the form of railways, road network, electricity, running water,gas and communication network', said Florens Turuka, Permanent Secretary in the Prime Minister's OfficeFlorens Turuka (allAfrica). The project, touted to be the biggest in Sub-Saharan Africa, is expected totransform the country into a transport logistics hub and gateway to regional and international trade.

BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Port of Dar es Salaam Throughput Outlook
Table: Major Ports Data (Tanzania 2012-2019)
Table: Trade Overview (Tanzania 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Tanzania 2012-2019)
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2013), USDmn
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2013), USDmn
Market Overview
Tanzania Container Shipping Overview
Shipping - Global Industry View
Bright Spot For Shipping: Low Bunker Prices
Table: BMI Bunker Fuel (IFO180 & MGO) Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months)
Long-Term Outlook
Risks To Outlook
Global Company Strategy
Maersk Line
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
Evergreen Line
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Tanzania 2010-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Tanzania 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Tanzania 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Tanzania 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Tanzania 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Tanzania 1990-2025)

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