Tanzania Freight Transport Report Q1 2015
BMI View: Tanzania's various freight sectors will see steady growth over the next few years, between 2015and 2019. The strongest growth will be in the maritime freight sector, however air and rail freight will alsosee good growth, of around 3.5% and 3.2% annually (though this is largely due to the low starting base andwill continue to be constrained by inadequate infrastructure over the medium term). Road freight will seethe lowest growth rate, at just 1.2% a year through till 2019, however this is because road freight is alreadythe single largest logistics sector in the country, and the one which benefits the most from the vast volumesof trans-regional trade, as well as the large agricultural tonnage needing transportation. We expect roadfreight will continue to dominate the freight sector, and account for the largest tonnage, however asTanzania's role as a regional transport hub expands, and additional ports bare constructed, we expectmaritime freight will see the strongest growth over the medium term.
Overall, we expect that Tanzania's total trade will see a strong uptick over 2015, due to a combination ofmacroeconomic factors boosting the demand for consumer products and hydrocarbon imports, the formerneeding freighting across the country, and the rising commercialisation trend seen in the agriculture sector,which is increasing crop production levels, and a booming mining sector, both of which are having aconcomitantly beneficial impact on export growth rates and benefitting both road and rail freight volumes.
We believe that these factors will contribute to further growth through to 2019 and beyond, with continuedgrowth in commodities exports and consumer-focused imports.