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Tanzania Banking & Financial Services Report Q4 2017

BMI View: The rising rate of default and late payment on loans is fuelling concern over the fate of somebanks, particularly those with NPL ratios of over 50%. While these banks are invariably small, regulatoryintervention over coming months will be crucial to preventing systemic risks and maintaining public faith inthe banking system. Consolidation within the banking industry is highly likely, but in the meantime largerbanks with NPL ratios of over 10% will be focused on improving their asset base and meeting the centralbank's higher capital adequacy ratios and capital buffers. As the industry moves towards Basel IIIcompliance, tighter regulations are likely to impose greater discipline on the banking industry to preventbanking crises emerging and the risk of contagion. Outside the banking industry, the insurance sector is setfor strong growth but from a very low base and will not be a significant generator of investment. Assetmanagement remains focused on equities, which have deteriorated in recent quarters, while the real estatesector remains under-exploited.


BMI Industry View
Banking & Financial Services Industry View
Table: Financial Services Forecasts (Tanzania 2015-2020)
Table: Financial Services Forecasts (Tanzania 2021-2026)
SWOT
Banking & Financial Services
Banking
Banking Snapshot
Forecast Scenario
Table: Key Banking Forecasts (Tanzania 2015-2021)
Table: Tanzania - Banking Sector Risk Snapshot
Forecast Tables
Table: Assets Forecasts (Tanzania 2015-2020)
Table: Assets Forecasts (Tanzania 2021-2026)
Table: Liabilities Forecasts (Tanzania 2015-2020)
Table: Liabilities Forecasts (Tanzania 2021-2026)
Table: Key Ratios Forecasts (Tanzania 2015-2026)
Competitive Landscape
Table: Top 10 Commercial And Retail Banks By Total Assets, TZSmn
Table: Top 10 Banks - Asset Quality
Table: Top 10 Banks - Earnings & Profitability
Table: Top 10 Banks - Capital & Leverage
Table: Top 10 Banks - Funding & Liquidity
Regulatory Environment
Insurance
Insurance Snapshot
Table: Gross Insurance Premiums Written (Tanzania 2015-2020)
Table: Gross Insurance Premiums Written (Tanzania 2021-2026)
Competitive Landscape
Table: Top 5 Life Insurance Companies By Gross Premiums, USDmn
Table: Top 10 Non-Life Insurance Companies By Gross Premiums, USDmn
Regulatory Environment
Asset Management
Asset Management Snapshot
Competitive Landscape
Regulatory Environment
Stock Exchanges
Stock Exchanges Snapshot
Table: DSE Market Statistics
Competitive Landscape
Table: Treasury Bonds Issued And Their Subscription Level In The Primary Bond Market
Regulatory Environment
Macroeconomic Overview
Economic Analysis
Table: Tanzania: Selected Regulatory Developments
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Table: Macroeconomic Indicators (Tanzania 2016-2026)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Tanzania 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Tanzania 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Tanzania 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Tanzania 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Tanzania 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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