Tanzania Agribusiness Q3 2018
Despite a number of negative revisions to our forecasts in this update, our view on the Tanzanian agribusiness sectorremains positive with none of our production and consumption forecasts for the crops we track expected to average negativeannual growth rates across our five-year forecast period through to 2022. We have downgraded our forecasts for both cornproduction and consumption and sugar output and demand in this update. To counter this, we expect that an improvement inweather conditions will prove positive for agricultural yields, however, meaning earnings from Tanzania’s main export crops such ascoffee are likely to rise. Renewed government support for the coffee sector has provided hope that it can recover over the longerterm. The corn industry, meanwhile, will continue to benefit - albeit more modestly - from solid demand from domestic and exportmarkets, while rising income levels will stimulate rice consumption. The Tanzanian sugar sector will see limited production growth inthe next few years, largely due to the fact that Tanzania scores poorly on productivity measures compared to its regionalneighbours. This will increase the need for the country to import sugar to fill the growing deficit.
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