Tanzania Agribusiness Q1 2020

Tanzania Agribusiness Q1 2020

Key View:

While we continue to see agricultural output rising in Tanzania over the next five years, as the sector remains animportant contributor to economic growth and employment, productivity will be low. The industry is dominated by smallholderfarms that are highly dependent on rainfall, access to rural credit and farm inputs is limited, and support policies from thegovernment have been largely ineffective. Of the commodities we cover, we expect sugar and corn to outperform as newgovernment-funded milling facilities will likely boost sugar production and robust demand (domestic and international) supportscorn. A recent bumper corn harvest has led the government to lift its corn export ban. By contrast, coffee production will fall in2019/20 as unfavourable weather combined with structural barriers continues to weigh on the industry. We note that thegovernment remains committed to improving agricultural production, and a number of new programmes pose upside risks to ouroutlook.


Key View
SWOT
Agribusiness SWOT
Industry Forecast
Sugar
Grains
Rice
Coffee
Commodities Price Analysis
Monthly Commodities Strategy: Remaining Neutral But Bearish Risks Emerging
Upstream Analysis
Africa GM Outlook
Africa Machinery Outlook: Pockets Of Opportunity In Subdued Market
Africa Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Food
Regional Overview
Five Key Themes For Middle East And Africa Agribusiness
Tanzania Demographic Outlook
Agribusiness Methodology

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