Switzerland Power Report Q2 2016

Switzerland Power Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Switzerland's power sector will see some changes over the forecast period as the country shifts the balance of the power mix away from nuclear power and concentrates upon expanding non-hydropower renewable energy. As a result, we expect to see continued investment across several renewable energy sectors, including wind, solar and biomass, as well as the upgrade and expansion of existing hydropower facilities. Growth will be relatively slow, as lower power prices and limited consumption growth will continue to dampen investor interest. However, the government's ambitious renewable energy targets and commitment to the closure of nuclear power plants mean we do expect to see more projects entering the pipeline during the forecast period to 2025.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

An element of uncertainty has been introduced into Switzerland's nuclear power policy following the news in March 2016 that the government has opted not to set a firm deadline for the closure of existing nuclear power plants.

Meanwhile BKW Group has confirmed the Mühleberg plant will be taken offline on December 20 2019 followed by a 15-year decommissioning programme, with an estimated cost of CHF800mn (USD801mn).

We are currently maintaining our forecasts for steady overall growth in the Swiss power sector with generation forecast to increase by 6.6% in 2016 followed by slower growth over much of the remainder of the forecast period. Expansion of hydropower and other renewables will offset the loss of nuclear power, and in 2025 total generation is forecast to reach 72.88TWh, up slightly from 72.12TWh in 2016.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Switzerland 2015-2021)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Switzerland Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Switzerland 2014-2019)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Switzerland 2020-2025)
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Switzerland Power Forecast Scenario
Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecast
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Switzerland 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Switzerland 2020-2025)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Switzerland 2014-2019)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Switzerland 2020-2025)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Switzerland 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Switzerland 2020-2025)
Transmission And Distribution
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Switzerland 2014-2019)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Switzerland 2020-2025)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Switzerland 2014-2019)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Switzerland 2020-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Index
NAWE Power Risk/Reward Index
Switzerland Power Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation And Competition
Sustainable Energy Policies
Switzerland Power Projects Database
Competitive Landscape
Company Profile
Alpiq
Regional Overview
NAWE Power Regional Overview
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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